Wehen Wiesbaden 0-2 Erzgebirge Aue — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - 3rd Division, 1 Mar 2025

📅01/03/2025 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
2.12
Draw
23%
3.28
Away
30%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
1.9
Over 2.5
56%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.68
No
45%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
3.44
2-3 Goals
41%
1.82
4-5 Goals
24%
3.51
6+ Goals
10%
13.45
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
3.1
1/2
6%
31.5
1/X
6%
12.8
X/1
16%
5.07
X/2
11%
6.58
X/X
11%
4.72
2/1 EV+ ✗
9%
25.0
2/2
12%
4.62
2/X
7%
13.25
Value flag · 2/1 at 25.0 — our 9% vs market 1.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
43%
+3.9pp
23%
Draw
27%
-3.5pp
30%
Away Win
30%
-0.5pp
44%
Under 2.5
49%
-4.4pp
56%
Over 2.5
51%
+4.4pp
55%
BTTS Yes
56%
-0.3pp
45%
BTTS No
44%
+0.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Wehen Wiesbaden EU Bookmakers 47%
Head to Head
AWAY Erzgebirge Aue EU Bookmakers 34%
-2% / +8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +2%
1.49/1.18 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.36/1.84
-9% / -3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +10% / -18%
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
286 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 322 · 75%
24.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
20.3 Crosses 18.5
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Wehen Wiesbaden
3W-0D-3L
AWAY Erzgebirge Aue
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.76 xG 1.32
45% Ball Possession 55%
15 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
281 Passes 377
71% Pass Accuracy 80%
26 Box Touches 14
23 Crosses 14
3 Yellow Cards 3
24.09.2024 Erzgebirge Aue Erzgebirge Aue 2-1 HT 2-0 Wehen Wiesbaden Wehen Wiesbaden AL3
17.02.2023 Wehen Wiesbaden Wehen Wiesbaden 1-2 HT 0-1 Erzgebirge Aue Erzgebirge Aue AL3
14.08.2022 Erzgebirge Aue Erzgebirge Aue 1-5 HT 0-2 Wehen Wiesbaden Wehen Wiesbaden AL3
28.01.2020 Wehen Wiesbaden Wehen Wiesbaden 1-0 HT 1-0 Erzgebirge Aue Erzgebirge Aue AL2
04.08.2019 Erzgebirge Aue Erzgebirge Aue 3-2 HT 2-1 Wehen Wiesbaden Wehen Wiesbaden AL2
13.08.2017 Wehen Wiesbaden Wehen Wiesbaden 2-0 HT 2-0 Erzgebirge Aue Erzgebirge Aue AFK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Wehen Wiesbaden
0-2
AWAY Erzgebirge Aue
52% Ball Possession 48%
11 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
368 Passes 338
79% Pass Accuracy 78%
21 Crosses 11
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Wehen Wiesbaden vs Erzgebirge Aue
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Erzgebirge Aue saw off Wehen Wiesbaden 2-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Wehen Wiesbaden at 47%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (56%), both teams to score (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Wehen Wiesbaden had 52% of the ball to Erzgebirge Aue's 48%, shots finished 11-10.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 3 apiece. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Wehen Wiesbaden and 1.33 for Erzgebirge Aue.

What was the final score of Wehen Wiesbaden vs Erzgebirge Aue?

Wehen Wiesbaden 0-2 Erzgebirge Aue in the Germany - 3rd Division on 01/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Wehen Wiesbaden vs Erzgebirge Aue?

Before kick-off our model rated a Wehen Wiesbaden win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Wehen Wiesbaden 47%, draw 23%, Erzgebirge Aue 30%. The final score 0-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Wehen Wiesbaden) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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