Ingolstadt 2-1 Sandhausen — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - 3rd Division, 1 Mar 2025

📅01/03/2025 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
1.96
Draw
28%
3.45
Away
25%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
2.03
Over 2.5
49%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.63
No
46%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
3.91
2-3 Goals
42%
1.86
4-5 Goals
22%
3.2
6+ Goals
12%
10.7
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
2.74
1/2
7%
32.0
1/X
6%
12.85
X/1
21%
4.87
X/2
8%
7.25
X/X
12%
5.15
2/1
6%
23.0
2/2
10%
5.07
2/X
10%
13.55
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
47%
+0.5pp
28%
Draw
25%
+2.5pp
25%
Away Win
28%
-3.0pp
51%
Under 2.5
45%
+5.4pp
49%
Over 2.5
55%
-5.4pp
54%
BTTS Yes
57%
-2.8pp
46%
BTTS No
43%
+2.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ingolstadt EU Bookmakers 51%
Head to Head
AWAY Sandhausen EU Bookmakers 32%
+3% / +11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -7% / -20%
1.73/1.08 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.04/1.70
+6% / +6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -16% / -11%
54% Ball Possession 46%
16 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 6
303 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 288 · 73%
20.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
19.9 Crosses 17.6
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ingolstadt
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Sandhausen
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.16 xG 0.90
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
238 Passes 306
69% Pass Accuracy 73%
21 Box Touches 17
18 Crosses 21
2 Yellow Cards 2
24.09.2024 Sandhausen Sandhausen 4-3 HT 1-1 Ingolstadt Ingolstadt AL3
18.05.2024 Sandhausen Sandhausen 1-1 HT 1-0 Ingolstadt Ingolstadt AL3
16.12.2023 Ingolstadt Ingolstadt 4-0 HT 0-0 Sandhausen Sandhausen AL3
13.02.2022 Ingolstadt Ingolstadt 0-0 HT 0-0 Sandhausen Sandhausen AL2
27.08.2021 Sandhausen Sandhausen 0-2 HT 0-1 Ingolstadt Ingolstadt AL2
31.03.2019 Ingolstadt Ingolstadt 1-2 HT 1-0 Sandhausen Sandhausen AL2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Ingolstadt
2-1
AWAY Sandhausen
61% Ball Possession 39%
17 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 6
404 Passes 217
82% Pass Accuracy 71%
16 Crosses 20
1 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Ingolstadt vs Sandhausen
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ingolstadt squeezed past Sandhausen 2-1. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Ingolstadt as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

On the day, Ingolstadt had 61% of the ball to Sandhausen's 39%, shots finished 17-10.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Ingolstadt and 1.17 for Sandhausen.

What was the final score of Ingolstadt vs Sandhausen?

Ingolstadt 2-1 Sandhausen in the Germany - 3rd Division on 01/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ingolstadt vs Sandhausen?

Before kick-off our model rated a Ingolstadt win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Ingolstadt 47%, draw 28%, Sandhausen 25%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Ingolstadt), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Ingolstadt) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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