Sandhausen 4-3 Ingolstadt — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - 3rd Division, 24 Sep 2024

Sandhausen
4-3 HT 1-1
Ingolstadt
📅24/09/2024 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 1-1 ✗
Germany - 3rd Division – 2024/2025

Sandhausen vs Ingolstadt Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.67
Draw
28%
3.45
Away
36%
2.23
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
2.15
Over 2.5
50%
1.64
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.55
No
49%
2.29
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
26%
4.28
2-3 Goals
41%
1.87
4-5 Goals
23%
2.98
6+ Goals
10%
9.13
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.28 — our 26% vs market 18.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
4.17
1/2
7%
24.0
1/X
9%
12.7
X/1
11%
6.48
X/2
15%
5.21
X/X
11%
5.19
2/1
6%
28.5
2/2
15%
3.06
2/X
8%
12.5
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
34%
+1.8pp
28%
Draw
26%
+2.6pp
36%
Away Win
41%
-4.5pp
50%
Under 2.5
43%
+7.3pp
50%
Over 2.5
57%
-7.3pp
51%
BTTS Yes
60%
-9.4pp
49%
BTTS No
40%
+9.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Sandhausen v Ingolstadt — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sandhausen EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Ingolstadt EU Bookmakers 45%
+5% / +6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +4%
1.91/1.38 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.63/1.04
+37% / -4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +11% / +23%
51% Ball Possession 49%
11 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
328 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 301 · 76%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 25.6
– Crosses 19.7
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.0

Sandhausen vs Ingolstadt Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sandhausen
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Ingolstadt
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.37 xG 0.97
47% Ball Possession 53%
12 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 4
259 Passes 264
68% Pass Accuracy 69%
16 Box Touches 18
17 Crosses 20
2 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
18.05.2024 Sandhausen Sandhausen 1-1 HT 1-0 Ingolstadt Ingolstadt AL3
16.12.2023 Ingolstadt Ingolstadt 4-0 HT 0-0 Sandhausen Sandhausen AL3
13.02.2022 Ingolstadt Ingolstadt 0-0 HT 0-0 Sandhausen Sandhausen AL2
27.08.2021 Sandhausen Sandhausen 0-2 HT 0-1 Ingolstadt Ingolstadt AL2
31.03.2019 Ingolstadt Ingolstadt 1-2 HT 1-0 Sandhausen Sandhausen AL2
19.10.2018 Sandhausen Sandhausen 4-0 HT 1-0 Ingolstadt Ingolstadt AL2

Sandhausen 4-3 Ingolstadt — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sandhausen
4-3
AWAY Ingolstadt
56% Ball Possession 44%
16 Total Shots 10
10 Shots on Target 4
9 Corners 2
375 Passes 267
88% Pass Accuracy 78%
32 Crosses 14
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Sandhausen vs Ingolstadt
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sandhausen squeezed past Ingolstadt 4-3. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 7 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

We called this one close before kick-off — 35% / 28% / 36% — and on the day Sandhausen made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Sandhausen had 56% of the ball to Ingolstadt's 44%, shots finished 16-10.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Sandhausen and 1.33 for Ingolstadt.

What was the final score of Sandhausen vs Ingolstadt?

Sandhausen 4-3 Ingolstadt in the Germany - 3rd Division on 24/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sandhausen vs Ingolstadt?

Before kick-off our model rated an Ingolstadt win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Sandhausen 35%, draw 28%, Ingolstadt 36%. The final score 4-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Ingolstadt) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Ingolstadt) ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
AL3 More Germany - 3rd Division
24 Sep 2024
20:00 Stuttgart II vs Arminia Bielefeld Analysis →
20:00 Erzgebirge Aue vs Wehen Wiesbaden Analysis →
20:00 Hansa Rostock vs Unterhaching Analysis →
20:00 Osnabrück vs Energie Cottbus Analysis →