Stuttgart II 3-0 Arminia Bielefeld — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - 3rd Division, 24 Sep 2024

Stuttgart II
3-0 HT 2-0
Arminia Bielefeld
📅24/09/2024 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
Germany - 3rd Division – 2024/2025

Stuttgart II vs Arminia Bielefeld Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
25%
3.46
Draw
25%
3.54
Away
50%
1.87
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
2.03
Over 2.5
44%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
1.68
No
57%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
31%
3.84
2-3 Goals
40%
1.83
4-5 Goals
21%
3.19
6+ Goals
8%
10.85
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.84 — our 31% vs market 20.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
8%
5.87
1/2
9%
22.7
1/X
5%
14.05
X/1
12%
8.15
X/2
12%
4.34
X/X
13%
5.19
2/1
6%
34.5
2/2
28%
2.44
2/X
7%
13.6
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
25%
Home Win
26%
-0.1pp
25%
Draw
25%
+0.1pp
50%
Away Win
50%
+0.1pp
56%
Under 2.5
45%
+10.5pp
44%
Over 2.5
55%
-10.5pp
43%
BTTS Yes
56%
-12.8pp
57%
BTTS No
44%
+12.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Stuttgart II v Arminia Bielefeld — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Stuttgart II EU Bookmakers 29%
Head to Head
AWAY Arminia Bielefeld EU Bookmakers 54%
+7% / +17% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +14% / +18%
2.23/1.57 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.27/0.16
+87% / -1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +33% / +150%
50% Ball Possession 50%
9 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
421 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 330 · 79%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
3.0 Crosses –
2.7 Yellow Cards 1.5

Stuttgart II vs Arminia Bielefeld Head-to-Head — Last 5 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Stuttgart II
1W-1D-3L
AWAY Arminia Bielefeld
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
51% Ball Possession 49%
6 Total Shots 18
4 Shots on Target 8
2 Corners 6
The Meetings
22.03.2015 Stuttgart II Stuttgart II 2-0 HT 2-0 Arminia Bielefeld Arminia Bielefeld AL3
24.09.2014 Arminia Bielefeld Arminia Bielefeld 3-0 HT 1-0 Stuttgart II Stuttgart II AL3
03.05.2013 Stuttgart II Stuttgart II 0-1 HT 0-1 Arminia Bielefeld Arminia Bielefeld AL3
10.11.2012 Arminia Bielefeld Arminia Bielefeld 1-1 HT 0-1 Stuttgart II Stuttgart II AL3
17.12.2011 Stuttgart II Stuttgart II 2-5 HT 1-3 Arminia Bielefeld Arminia Bielefeld AL3

Stuttgart II 3-0 Arminia Bielefeld — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Stuttgart II
3-0
AWAY Arminia Bielefeld
41% Ball Possession 59%
10 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 1
5 Corners 6
234 Passes 358
72% Pass Accuracy 78%
7 Crosses 21
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Stuttgart II vs Arminia Bielefeld
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Stuttgart II ran out comfortable winners over Arminia Bielefeld 3-0. Half-time: 2-0.

Our pre-match lean was Arminia Bielefeld at 50%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, no to both teams scoring (57%) landed while under 2.5 goals (56%) missed.

On the day, Stuttgart II had 41% of the ball to Arminia Bielefeld's 59%, shots finished 10-11.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, Arminia Bielefeld led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Stuttgart II and 2.00 for Arminia Bielefeld.

What was the final score of Stuttgart II vs Arminia Bielefeld?

Stuttgart II 3-0 Arminia Bielefeld in the Germany - 3rd Division on 24/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Stuttgart II vs Arminia Bielefeld?

Before kick-off our model rated an Arminia Bielefeld win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Stuttgart II 25%, draw 25%, Arminia Bielefeld 50%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS No — while Match Result (Arminia Bielefeld), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Arminia Bielefeld) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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