Rot-Weiss Essen 4-0 Borussia Dortmund II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - 3rd Division, 17 Mar 2024

Rot-Weiss Essen
4-0 HT 1-0
Borussia Dortmund II
📅17/03/2024 · 🕒15:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 ✗ 2nd Score 3-1 ✗
Germany - 3rd Division – 2023/2024

Rot-Weiss Essen vs Borussia Dortmund II Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
1.86
Draw
29%
3.64
Away
29%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
2.21
Over 2.5
54%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.56
No
46%
2.27
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
4.53
2-3 Goals
35%
1.9
4-5 Goals
28%
2.9
6+ Goals
12%
8.35
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
2.45
1/2
7%
34.5
1/X
6%
13.45
X/1
22%
4.5
X/2
9%
7.96
X/X
17%
5.66
2/1 EV+ ✗
9%
21.45
2/2
13%
5.38
2/X
6%
13.8
Value flag · 2/1 at 21.45 — our 9% vs market 2.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
50%
-7.9pp
28%
Draw
24%
+4.2pp
29%
Away Win
26%
+3.7pp
46%
Under 2.5
41%
+4.9pp
54%
Over 2.5
59%
-4.9pp
54%
BTTS Yes
60%
-5.9pp
46%
BTTS No
40%
+5.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Rot-Weiss Essen v Borussia Dortmund II — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Rot-Weiss Essen EU Bookmakers 54%
Head to Head
AWAY Borussia Dortmund II EU Bookmakers 29%
-12% / -12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +14% / +17%
1.33/1.54 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.72/1.29
-21% / -32% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +48% / +21%
54% Ball Possession 46%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 4
395 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 307 · 77%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
2.4 Yellow Cards 2.8

Rot-Weiss Essen vs Borussia Dortmund II Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Rot-Weiss Essen
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Borussia Dortmund II
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
46% Ball Possession 54%
10 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
13.10.2023 Borussia Dortmund II Borussia Dortmund II 1-2 HT 0-1 Rot-Weiss Essen Rot-Weiss Essen AL3
19.02.2023 Rot-Weiss Essen Rot-Weiss Essen 2-0 HT 0-0 Borussia Dortmund II Borussia Dortmund II AL3
13.08.2022 Borussia Dortmund II Borussia Dortmund II 1-0 HT 1-0 Rot-Weiss Essen Rot-Weiss Essen AL3
17.03.2021 Rot-Weiss Essen Rot-Weiss Essen 1-1 HT 1-0 Borussia Dortmund II Borussia Dortmund II ALMBÖL
20.09.2020 Borussia Dortmund II Borussia Dortmund II 1-1 HT 0-0 Rot-Weiss Essen Rot-Weiss Essen ALMBÖL
08.12.2019 Borussia Dortmund II Borussia Dortmund II 0-1 HT 0-0 Rot-Weiss Essen Rot-Weiss Essen ALMBÖL

Rot-Weiss Essen 4-0 Borussia Dortmund II — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Rot-Weiss Essen
4-0
AWAY Borussia Dortmund II
57% Ball Possession 43%
20 Total Shots 4
9 Shots on Target 3
14 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Rot-Weiss Essen vs Borussia Dortmund II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Rot-Weiss Essen ran out comfortable winners over Borussia Dortmund II 4-0. Half-time: 1-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Rot-Weiss Essen as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 4-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

On the day, Rot-Weiss Essen had 57% of the ball to Borussia Dortmund II's 43%, shots finished 20-4.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Rot-Weiss Essen had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Rot-Weiss Essen and 0.67 for Borussia Dortmund II.

What was the final score of Rot-Weiss Essen vs Borussia Dortmund II?

Rot-Weiss Essen 4-0 Borussia Dortmund II in the Germany - 3rd Division on 17/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Rot-Weiss Essen vs Borussia Dortmund II?

Before kick-off our model rated a Rot-Weiss Essen win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Rot-Weiss Essen 42%, draw 28%, Borussia Dortmund II 29%. The final score 4-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Rot-Weiss Essen), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Rot-Weiss Essen) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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