Sandhausen 1-0 Unterhaching — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - 3rd Division, 17 Mar 2024

📅17/03/2024 · 🕒18:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
1.89
Draw
25%
3.54
Away
29%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
2.03
Over 2.5
52%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.66
No
46%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
3.88
2-3 Goals
39%
1.84
4-5 Goals
23%
3.17
6+ Goals
13%
10.7
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
2.53
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
8%
13.35
X/1
15%
4.45
X/2
10%
7.82
X/X
10%
5.15
2/1 EV+ ✗
7%
22.7
2/2
14%
5.55
2/X
7%
13.8
Value flag · 2/1 at 22.7 — our 7% vs market 2.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
49%
-3.3pp
25%
Draw
25%
+0.1pp
29%
Away Win
26%
+3.3pp
48%
Under 2.5
45%
+2.2pp
52%
Over 2.5
55%
-2.3pp
54%
BTTS Yes
56%
-2.7pp
46%
BTTS No
44%
+2.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sandhausen EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Unterhaching EU Bookmakers 29%
+5% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / +4%
1.58/0.61 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.01/1.45
-5% / +75% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -15% / +8%
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
323 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 298 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.6
Crosses 15.6
1.6 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sandhausen
1W-1D-0L
AWAY Unterhaching
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
49% Ball Possession 51%
13 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 8
2 Yellow Cards 3
14.10.2023 Unterhaching Unterhaching 0-0 HT 0-0 Sandhausen Sandhausen AL3
28.01.2012 Sandhausen Sandhausen 3-1 HT 1-0 Unterhaching Unterhaching AL3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sandhausen
1-0
AWAY Unterhaching
48% Ball Possession 52%
7 Total Shots 15
5 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 9
0 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Sandhausen vs Unterhaching
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sandhausen nicked a narrow win over Unterhaching 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Sandhausen as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

On the day, Sandhausen had 48% of the ball to Unterhaching's 52%, shots finished 7-15.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Sandhausen had the better of it with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Sandhausen and 0.50 for Unterhaching.

What was the final score of Sandhausen vs Unterhaching?

Sandhausen 1-0 Unterhaching in the Germany - 3rd Division on 17/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sandhausen vs Unterhaching?

Before kick-off our model rated a Sandhausen win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Sandhausen 46%, draw 25%, Unterhaching 29%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Sandhausen) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Sandhausen) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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