Ingolstadt 0-1 Verl — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - 3rd Division, 17 Mar 2024

Ingolstadt
0-1 HT 0-1
Verl
📅17/03/2024 · 🕒21:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 ✗ 2nd Score 2-1 ✗
Germany - 3rd Division – 2023/2024

Ingolstadt vs Verl Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
1.96
Draw
30%
3.54
Away
31%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
2.03
Over 2.5
53%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.63
No
44%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
3.84
2-3 Goals
40%
1.83
4-5 Goals
26%
3.19
6+ Goals
11%
10.85
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
2.72
1/2
8%
33.5
1/X
9%
13.4
X/1
17%
4.6
X/2
9%
7.1
X/X
14%
5.16
2/1
9%
23.15
2/2
14%
4.96
2/X
7%
13.7
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
47%
-7.8pp
30%
Draw
25%
+5.0pp
31%
Away Win
28%
+2.8pp
47%
Under 2.5
45%
+1.9pp
53%
Over 2.5
55%
-1.9pp
56%
BTTS Yes
57%
-1.6pp
44%
BTTS No
43%
+1.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Ingolstadt v Verl — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ingolstadt EU Bookmakers 51%
Head to Head
AWAY Verl EU Bookmakers 32%
+2% / +7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -9%
1.29/1.32 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.80/1.15
+16% / +13% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +26% / -17%
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
290 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 264 · 70%
20.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.0
16.5 Crosses 32.0
3.1 Yellow Cards 2.7

Ingolstadt vs Verl Head-to-Head — Last 5 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ingolstadt
2W-2D-1L
AWAY Verl
1.80 Avg Goals (FT) 1.40
44% Ball Possession 56%
12 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
14.10.2023 Verl Verl 2-2 HT 2-1 Ingolstadt Ingolstadt AL3
29.04.2023 Ingolstadt Ingolstadt 3-1 HT 2-0 Verl Verl AL3
05.11.2022 Verl Verl 2-1 HT 1-1 Ingolstadt Ingolstadt AL3
17.03.2021 Verl Verl 1-1 HT 0-0 Ingolstadt Ingolstadt AL3
17.10.2020 Ingolstadt Ingolstadt 2-1 HT 1-1 Verl Verl AL3

Ingolstadt 0-1 Verl — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Ingolstadt
0-1
AWAY Verl
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 7
8 Shots on Target 2
11 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Ingolstadt vs Verl
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Verl nicked a narrow win over Ingolstadt 1-0 away from home.

Our pre-match split (39% / 30% / 31%) promised a tight game; Verl found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — both teams to score (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Ingolstadt had 51% of the ball to Verl's 49%, shots finished 13-7.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, Ingolstadt had the better of it with 2 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.80 goals for Ingolstadt and 1.40 for Verl.

What was the final score of Ingolstadt vs Verl?

Ingolstadt 0-1 Verl in the Germany - 3rd Division on 17/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ingolstadt vs Verl?

Before kick-off our model rated a Ingolstadt win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Ingolstadt 39%, draw 30%, Verl 31%. The final score 0-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Ingolstadt) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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