Greifswalder SV 1-2 FSV Zwickau — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Regional League, 12 Apr 2026

📅12/04/2026 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.57
Draw
26%
3.35
Away
34%
2.32
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
1.91
Over 2.5
54%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.68
No
43%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
7%
1/X
8%
X/1
15%
X/2
12%
X/X
10%
2/1
9%
2/2
15%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
35%
+5.6pp
26%
Draw
26%
-0.5pp
34%
Away Win
39%
-5.1pp
46%
Under 2.5
48%
-2.8pp
54%
Over 2.5
52%
+2.8pp
57%
BTTS Yes
56%
+1.9pp
43%
BTTS No
44%
-1.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Greifswalder SV EU Bookmakers 39%
Head to Head
AWAY FSV Zwickau EU Bookmakers 43%
-11% / -17% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / -7%
0.92/1.16 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.03/1.61
-37% / +32% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -38% / -15%
48% Ball Possession 52%
13 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
274 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 255 · 69%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Greifswalder SV
3W-1D-1L
AWAY FSV Zwickau
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.20
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 2
18.10.2025 FSV Zwickau FSV Zwickau 1-0 HT 0-0 Greifswalder SV Greifswalder SV ALMBÖL
14.12.2024 Greifswalder SV Greifswalder SV 2-1 HT 1-0 FSV Zwickau FSV Zwickau ALMBÖL
02.08.2024 FSV Zwickau FSV Zwickau 0-2 HT 0-2 Greifswalder SV Greifswalder SV ALMBÖL
05.05.2024 Greifswalder SV Greifswalder SV 4-2 HT 2-1 FSV Zwickau FSV Zwickau ALMBÖL
24.11.2023 FSV Zwickau FSV Zwickau 2-2 HT 0-1 Greifswalder SV Greifswalder SV ALMBÖL
POST-MATCH Greifswalder SV vs FSV Zwickau
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

FSV Zwickau nicked a narrow win over Greifswalder SV 2-1 away from home.

Our pre-match lean was Greifswalder SV at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged both teams to score (57%), and that read landed as well.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, Greifswalder SV had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Greifswalder SV and 1.20 for FSV Zwickau.

What was the final score of Greifswalder SV vs FSV Zwickau?

Greifswalder SV 1-2 FSV Zwickau in the Germany - Regional League on 12/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Greifswalder SV vs FSV Zwickau?

Before kick-off our model rated a Greifswalder SV win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Greifswalder SV 41%, draw 26%, FSV Zwickau 34%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Greifswalder SV) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Greifswalder SV) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
ALMBÖL More Germany - Regional League
12 Apr 2026
15:00 Lübeck vs Werder Bremen II Analysis →
15:00 Eintracht Norderstedt vs Hamburg II Analysis →
15:00 Fortuna Köln vs Schalke 04 II Analysis →
15:00 Bonner SC vs Köln II Analysis →
15:00 Gütersloh vs Paderborn 07 II Analysis →
15:00 Freiburg II vs Eintracht Trier Analysis →