Brisbane Roar II 2-1 Peninsula Power — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Australia - National Premier League, 12 Apr 2026

📅12/04/2026 · 🕒07:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-3 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
18%
3.87
Draw
19%
4.08
Away
63%
1.64
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
39%
Over 2.5
61%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.43
No
44%
2.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
2-3 Goals
32%
4-5 Goals
27%
6+ Goals
19%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
5%
1/2
12%
1/X
5%
X/1
7%
X/2
18%
X/X
10%
2/1
5%
2/2
33%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
18%
Home Win
22%
-4.8pp
19%
Draw
21%
-1.7pp
63%
Away Win
57%
+6.3pp
56%
BTTS Yes
66%
-9.9pp
44%
BTTS No
34%
+9.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Brisbane Roar II EU Bookmakers 26%
Head to Head
AWAY Peninsula Power EU Bookmakers 61%
+2% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +13% / +13%
1.11/1.69 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.37/1.01
+17% / +18% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +4% / +94%
44% Ball Possession 56%
10 Total Shots 15
3 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 6
283 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 364 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
13.0 Crosses 27.4
1.6 Yellow Cards 1.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Brisbane Roar II
0W-2D-4L
AWAY Peninsula Power
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 2.83
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 6
3 Yellow Cards 2
31.05.2025 Brisbane Roar II Brisbane Roar II 1-4 HT 1-3 Peninsula Power Peninsula Power AVSQ
22.02.2025 Peninsula Power Peninsula Power 4-0 HT 2-0 Brisbane Roar II Brisbane Roar II AVSQ
14.07.2024 Peninsula Power Peninsula Power 4-0 HT 2-0 Brisbane Roar II Brisbane Roar II AVSQ
14.04.2024 Brisbane Roar II Brisbane Roar II 1-1 HT 1-1 Peninsula Power Peninsula Power AVNPL
18.06.2023 Brisbane Roar II Brisbane Roar II 1-2 HT 1-1 Peninsula Power Peninsula Power AVSQ
14.03.2023 Peninsula Power Peninsula Power 2-2 HT 0-1 Brisbane Roar II Brisbane Roar II AVNPL
POST-MATCH Brisbane Roar II vs Peninsula Power
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Brisbane Roar II squeezed past Peninsula Power 2-1.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Peninsula Power at 63% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (61%), both teams to score (56%) came in.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Peninsula Power led the recent series with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Brisbane Roar II and 2.83 for Peninsula Power.

What was the final score of Brisbane Roar II vs Peninsula Power?

Brisbane Roar II 2-1 Peninsula Power in the Australia - National Premier League on 12/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Brisbane Roar II vs Peninsula Power?

Before kick-off our model rated an Peninsula Power win the most likely single outcome at about 63%, with the full match-result split Brisbane Roar II 18%, draw 19%, Peninsula Power 63%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Peninsula Power) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Peninsula Power) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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