Ceara vs Nautico Prediction — Model Probabilities
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Ceara v Nautico — Team-Based Signals
Ceara vs Nautico Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
Ceara 1-0 Nautico — Actual Match Statistics
Ceara nicked a narrow win over Nautico 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
As we said in the preview, our model had Ceara as the likeliest winner at 54%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.
On the day, Ceara had 40% of the ball to Nautico's 60%, shots finished 10-15, expected goals 1.56 to 0.80.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Ceara had the better of it with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Ceara and 0.67 for Nautico.
What was the final score of Ceara vs Nautico?
Ceara 1-0 Nautico in the Brazil - Serie B on 12/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Ceara vs Nautico?
Before kick-off our model rated a Ceara win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split Ceara 54%, draw 23%, Nautico 22%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Ceara), Under 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.