Sport Recife vs Avai Prediction — Model Probabilities
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Sport Recife v Avai — Team-Based Signals
Sport Recife vs Avai Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
Sport Recife 2-2 Avai — Actual Match Statistics
Sport Recife and Avai shared the points in a 2-2 draw. Half-time: 1-1.
Our pre-match lean was Sport Recife at 47%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (58%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Sport Recife had 59% of the ball to Avai's 41%, shots finished 21-14, expected goals 3.45 to 1.79.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Avai led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Sport Recife and 1.17 for Avai.
What was the final score of Sport Recife vs Avai?
Sport Recife 2-2 Avai in the Brazil - Serie B on 12/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Sport Recife vs Avai?
Before kick-off our model rated a Sport Recife win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Sport Recife 47%, draw 30%, Avai 23%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.