Karela 2-2 Heart of Lions — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Gana - Premier League, 12 Apr 2026

📅12/04/2026 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
51%
1.57
Draw
29%
3.54
Away
20%
5.64
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
63%
1.52
Over 2.5
37%
2.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
2.51
No
55%
1.46
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
41%
2-3 Goals
34%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
4%
1/X
4%
X/1
21%
X/2
4%
X/X
20%
2/1
8%
2/2
11%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
51%
Home Win
60%
-8.4pp
29%
Draw
25%
+3.5pp
20%
Away Win
15%
+5.0pp
63%
Under 2.5
62%
+1.2pp
37%
Over 2.5
38%
-1.2pp
45%
BTTS Yes
36%
+9.6pp
55%
BTTS No
64%
-9.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Karela EU Bookmakers 64%
Head to Head
AWAY Heart of Lions EU Bookmakers 18%
+7% / +7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -11% / -16%
1.71/0.76 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.49/1.46
+31% / -35% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -13% / -18%
55% Ball Possession 45%
13 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
390 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 249 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
0.8 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Karela
1W-1D-1L
AWAY Heart of Lions
0.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.33
25% Ball Possession 75%
2 Total Shots 15
0 Shots on Target 4
0 Corners 12
1 Yellow Cards 1
30.11.2025 Heart of Lions Heart of Lions 0-0 HT 0-0 Karela GANA
16.03.2025 Heart of Lions Heart of Lions 1-0 Karela GANA
07.04.2024 Karela 1-0 Heart of Lions Heart of Lions GANA
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Karela
2-2
AWAY Heart of Lions
51% Ball Possession 49%
9 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 6
2 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Karela vs Heart of Lions
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Karela and Heart of Lions couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. Half-time: 1-1.

Our pre-match lean was Karela at 51%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (63%), no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Karela had 51% of the ball to Heart of Lions's 49%, shots finished 9-11.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.33 goals for Karela and 0.33 for Heart of Lions.

What was the final score of Karela vs Heart of Lions?

Karela 2-2 Heart of Lions in the Gana - Premier League on 12/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Karela vs Heart of Lions?

Before kick-off our model rated a Karela win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Karela 51%, draw 29%, Heart of Lions 20%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Karela) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
GANA More Gana - Premier League
12 Apr 2026
18:00 Young Apostles vs Gamba All Blacks Analysis →
18:00 Medeama vs Asante Kotoko Analysis →
18:00 Samatex vs Berekum Chelsea Analysis →
18:00 Nations vs Basake Holy Stars Analysis →