Kwun Tong 2-3 Tung Sing — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Hong Kong - HKFA 1st Division, 12 Apr 2026

📅12/04/2026 · 🕒10:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-3 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
11%
12.23
Draw
13%
7.78
Away
76%
1.1
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
36%
Over 2.5
64%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
2.03
No
47%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
2-3 Goals
31%
4-5 Goals
27%
6+ Goals
20%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
6%
1/2
6%
1/X
4%
X/1
3%
X/2
22%
X/X
6%
2/1
2%
2/2
48%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
11%
Home Win
5%
+6.2pp
12%
Draw
9%
+3.0pp
76%
Away Win
85%
-9.2pp
53%
BTTS Yes
45%
+7.6pp
47%
BTTS No
55%
-7.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Kwun Tong EU Bookmakers 8%
Head to Head
AWAY Tung Sing EU Bookmakers 91%
-4% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / +7%
0.74/4.75 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 6.00/3.00
-24% / -30% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +73% / -69%
40% Ball Possession 60%
7 Total Shots 16
3 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 7
243 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 441 · 83%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.7 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Kwun Tong
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Tung Sing
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
50% Ball Possession 50%
9 Total Shots 18
3 Shots on Target 11
3 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 2
23.11.2025 Tung Sing 1-0 HT 0-0 Kwun Tong Kwun Tong HK2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Kwun Tong
2-3
AWAY Tung Sing
39% Ball Possession 61%
8 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 6
1 Corners 6
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Kwun Tong vs Tung Sing
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Tung Sing squeezed past Kwun Tong 3-2 away from home. It was 2-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Tung Sing as the likeliest winner at 76%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (64%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Kwun Tong had 39% of the ball to Tung Sing's 61%, shots finished 8-16.

What was the final score of Kwun Tong vs Tung Sing?

Kwun Tong 2-3 Tung Sing in the Hong Kong - HKFA 1st Division on 12/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Kwun Tong vs Tung Sing?

Before kick-off our model rated an Tung Sing win the most likely single outcome at about 76%, with the full match-result split Kwun Tong 11%, draw 12%, Tung Sing 76%. The final score 2-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Tung Sing), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Tung Sing) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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