Shatin SA 1-1 Lucky Mile — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Hong Kong - HKFA 1st Division, 12 Apr 2026

Shatin SA
1-1 HT 0-1
Lucky Mile
📅12/04/2026 · 🕒10:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 ✗ 2nd Score 3-1 ✗
Hong Kong - HKFA 1st Division – 2025/2026

Shatin SA vs Lucky Mile Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
68%
1.33
Draw
16%
5.15
Away
16%
5.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
37%
Over 2.5
63%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.39
No
44%
2.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
18%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
29%
6+ Goals
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1/2
3%
1/X
6%
X/1
28%
X/2
7%
X/X
4%
2/1
15%
2/2
5%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
69%
Home Win
70%
-1.7pp
16%
Draw
16%
-0.0pp
16%
Away Win
14%
+1.7pp
56%
BTTS Yes
68%
-11.4pp
44%
BTTS No
32%
+11.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Shatin SA v Lucky Mile — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Shatin SA EU Bookmakers 75%
Head to Head
AWAY Lucky Mile EU Bookmakers 17%
+4% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -4%
2.95/1.13 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/3.81
-9% / -17% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -11% / -39%
57% Ball Possession 43%
17 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 3
440 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 248 · 73%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
1.2 Yellow Cards 2.0

Shatin SA vs Lucky Mile Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Shatin SA
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Lucky Mile
6.00 Avg Goals (FT) 3.00
60% Ball Possession 40%
13 Total Shots 16
9 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 3
0 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
23.11.2025 Lucky Mile Lucky Mile 3-6 HT 1-2 Shatin SA Shatin SA HK2
POST-MATCH Shatin SA vs Lucky Mile
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Shatin SA and Lucky Mile couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-1.

This one beat our numbers. Shatin SA carried 69% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly. On goals, both teams to score (56%) landed while over 2.5 goals (63%) missed.

What was the final score of Shatin SA vs Lucky Mile?

Shatin SA 1-1 Lucky Mile in the Hong Kong - HKFA 1st Division on 12/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Shatin SA vs Lucky Mile?

Before kick-off our model rated a Shatin SA win the most likely single outcome at about 69%, with the full match-result split Shatin SA 69%, draw 16%, Lucky Mile 16%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Shatin SA), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Shatin SA) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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