Sham Shui Po 0-4 Metro Gallery — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Hong Kong - HKFA 1st Division, 12 Apr 2026

📅12/04/2026 · 🕒10:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
23%
5.4
Draw
16%
4.49
Away
61%
1.42
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
34%
Over 2.5
66%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.56
No
43%
2.27
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
19%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
8%
1/2
8%
1/X
7%
X/1
10%
X/2
18%
X/X
6%
2/1
5%
2/2
35%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
22%
Home Win
15%
+7.1pp
16%
Draw
19%
-2.5pp
61%
Away Win
66%
-4.6pp
57%
BTTS Yes
60%
-3.1pp
43%
BTTS No
40%
+3.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sham Shui Po EU Bookmakers 18%
Head to Head
AWAY Metro Gallery EU Bookmakers 70%
-1% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +25% / +25%
0.74/1.87 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 4.00/0.00
-26% / +25% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +73% /
47% Ball Possession 53%
10 Total Shots 15
3 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 5
266 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 374 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sham Shui Po
1W-0D-1L
AWAY Metro Gallery
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 3.00
52% Ball Possession 48%
15 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 7
2 Corners 5
0 Yellow Cards 2
28.12.2025 Metro Gallery Metro Gallery 5-0 HT 4-0 Sham Shui Po Sham Shui Po HK2
28.11.2021 Sham Shui Po Sham Shui Po 3-1 HT 0-0 Metro Gallery Metro Gallery HK2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sham Shui Po
0-4
AWAY Metro Gallery
36% Ball Possession 64%
10 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 11
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Sham Shui Po vs Metro Gallery
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Metro Gallery swept aside Sham Shui Po 4-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Metro Gallery as the likeliest winner at 61%, and the 4-0 landed on that lead. On goals, over 2.5 goals (66%) landed while both teams to score (57%) missed.

On the day, Sham Shui Po had 36% of the ball to Metro Gallery's 64%, shots finished 10-16.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Sham Shui Po and 3.00 for Metro Gallery.

What was the final score of Sham Shui Po vs Metro Gallery?

Sham Shui Po 0-4 Metro Gallery in the Hong Kong - HKFA 1st Division on 12/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sham Shui Po vs Metro Gallery?

Before kick-off our model rated an Metro Gallery win the most likely single outcome at about 61%, with the full match-result split Sham Shui Po 22%, draw 16%, Metro Gallery 61%. The final score 0-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Metro Gallery), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Metro Gallery) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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