Kauno Zalgiris II 0-1 Zalgiris II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Lithuania - 1st Division, 12 Apr 2026

📅12/04/2026 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
2.25
Draw
28%
3.54
Away
28%
2.62
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
40%
2.23
Over 2.5
60%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
60%
1.5
No
40%
2.4
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
16%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
35%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
4%
1/X
4%
X/1
15%
X/2
4%
X/X
17%
2/1
5%
2/2
20%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
41%
+3.4pp
28%
Draw
25%
+2.8pp
28%
Away Win
34%
-6.2pp
40%
Under 2.5
41%
-0.7pp
60%
Over 2.5
59%
+0.7pp
60%
BTTS Yes
62%
-2.8pp
40%
BTTS No
38%
+2.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Kauno Zalgiris II EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Zalgiris II EU Bookmakers 38%
-16% / -16% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +13% / +13%
1.38/2.19 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.14/1.83
-5% / -45% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +68% / -23%
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 4
372 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 299 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 1.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Kauno Zalgiris II
0W-0D-4L
AWAY Zalgiris II
1.75 Avg Goals (FT) 3.00
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
3 Yellow Cards 1
20.09.2025 Zalgiris II Zalgiris II 1-0 HT 0-0 Kauno Zalgiris II Kauno Zalgiris II LIT1
16.05.2025 Kauno Zalgiris II Kauno Zalgiris II 2-3 HT 2-1 Zalgiris II Zalgiris II LIT1
08.11.2023 Zalgiris II Zalgiris II 5-3 HT 3-1 Kauno Zalgiris II Kauno Zalgiris II LIT1
26.06.2023 Kauno Zalgiris II Kauno Zalgiris II 2-3 Zalgiris II Zalgiris II LIT1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Kauno Zalgiris II
0-1
AWAY Zalgiris II
60% Ball Possession 40%
9 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 4
9 Corners 6
4 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Kauno Zalgiris II vs Zalgiris II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Zalgiris II edged past Kauno Zalgiris II 1-0 away from home.

Our pre-match lean was Kauno Zalgiris II at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (60%), both teams to score (60%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Kauno Zalgiris II had 60% of the ball to Zalgiris II's 40%, shots finished 9-8.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, Zalgiris II led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.75 goals for Kauno Zalgiris II and 3.00 for Zalgiris II.

What was the final score of Kauno Zalgiris II vs Zalgiris II?

Kauno Zalgiris II 0-1 Zalgiris II in the Lithuania - 1st Division on 12/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Kauno Zalgiris II vs Zalgiris II?

Before kick-off our model rated a Kauno Zalgiris II win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Kauno Zalgiris II 44%, draw 28%, Zalgiris II 28%. The final score 0-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Kauno Zalgiris II) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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