Zalgiris II 1-0 Kauno Zalgiris II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Lithuania - 1st Division, 20 Sep 2025

📅20/09/2025 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
1.9
Draw
25%
3.8
Away
35%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
37%
Over 2.5
63%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
63%
1.43
No
37%
2.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
15%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
31%
6+ Goals
14%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
6%
1/X
9%
X/1
16%
X/2
16%
X/X
11%
2/1
11%
2/2
13%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
48%
-8.1pp
25%
Draw
23%
+1.8pp
35%
Away Win
29%
+6.2pp
63%
BTTS Yes
66%
-2.7pp
37%
BTTS No
34%
+2.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Zalgiris II EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Kauno Zalgiris II EU Bookmakers 32%
-16% / -16% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / +7%
1.95/1.86 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.54/1.35
+24% / -39% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +27% / +14%
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 6
7 Corners 4
401 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 343 · 82%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.4 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Zalgiris II
3W-0D-0L
AWAY Kauno Zalgiris II
3.67 Avg Goals (FT) 2.33
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 8
6 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 3
16.05.2025 Kauno Zalgiris II Kauno Zalgiris II 2-3 HT 2-1 Zalgiris II Zalgiris II LIT1
08.11.2023 Zalgiris II Zalgiris II 5-3 HT 3-1 Kauno Zalgiris II Kauno Zalgiris II LIT1
26.06.2023 Kauno Zalgiris II Kauno Zalgiris II 2-3 Zalgiris II Zalgiris II LIT1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Zalgiris II
1-0
AWAY Kauno Zalgiris II
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 11
2 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
0 Yellow Cards 3
FAQ Zalgiris II vs Kauno Zalgiris II
Match summary & frequently asked questions

Zalgiris II edged past Kauno Zalgiris II 1-0 in the Lithuania - 1st Division on 20 Sep 2025. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

The goals market leaned clearly over 2.5, at 63% and both teams to score was favoured at 63%.

On the day, Zalgiris II had 53% of the ball to Kauno Zalgiris II's 47%, shots finished 13-11.

Across their last 3 meetings in our records, Zalgiris II have the better of it with 3 wins. Those games averaged 3.67 goals for Zalgiris II and 2.33 for Kauno Zalgiris II.

What was the final score of Zalgiris II vs Kauno Zalgiris II?

Zalgiris II 1-0 Kauno Zalgiris II in the Lithuania - 1st Division on 20/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Zalgiris II vs Kauno Zalgiris II?

Before kick-off our model rated a Zalgiris II win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Zalgiris II 40%, draw 25%, Kauno Zalgiris II 35%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Zalgiris II) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Zalgiris II) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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