TransINVEST Vilnius 3-0 BFA — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Lithuania - 1st Division, 20 Sep 2025

📅20/09/2025 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
68%
1.3
Draw
16%
4.95
Away
16%
7.18
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
2.21
Over 2.5
57%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.88
No
51%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
33%
1/2
4%
1/X
7%
X/1
25%
X/2
6%
X/X
6%
2/1
10%
2/2
6%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
68%
Home Win
72%
-4.0pp
16%
Draw
17%
-0.6pp
15%
Away Win
11%
+4.5pp
43%
Under 2.5
41%
+2.0pp
57%
Over 2.5
59%
-2.0pp
49%
BTTS Yes
49%
+0.0pp
51%
BTTS No
51%
-0.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME TransINVEST Vilnius EU Bookmakers 77%
Head to Head
AWAY BFA EU Bookmakers 14%
-4% / -11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +12% / +9%
2.96/0.77 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.95/1.58
+38% / +10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +15% / +34%
58% Ball Possession 42%
16 Total Shots 8
7 Shots on Target 2
9 Corners 4
347 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 253 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.6 Yellow Cards 1.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME TransINVEST Vilnius
3W-0D-0L
AWAY BFA
2.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
56% Ball Possession 44%
15 Total Shots 9
9 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 1
17.05.2025 BFA BFA 1-2 HT 0-1 TransINVEST Vilnius TransINVEST Vilnius LIT1
01.11.2023 BFA BFA 1-4 HT 0-1 TransINVEST Vilnius TransINVEST Vilnius LIT1
27.05.2023 TransINVEST Vilnius TransINVEST Vilnius 2-0 HT 0-0 BFA BFA LIT1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME TransINVEST Vilnius
3-0
AWAY BFA
49% Ball Possession 51%
20 Total Shots 14
8 Shots on Target 2
7 Corners 2
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH TransINVEST Vilnius vs BFA
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

TransINVEST Vilnius ran out comfortable winners over BFA 3-0. Half-time: 2-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had TransINVEST Vilnius as the likeliest winner at 68%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (57%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, TransINVEST Vilnius had 49% of the ball to BFA's 51%, shots finished 20-14.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, TransINVEST Vilnius had the better of it with 3 wins. Those games averaged 2.67 goals for TransINVEST Vilnius and 0.67 for BFA.

What was the final score of TransINVEST Vilnius vs BFA?

TransINVEST Vilnius 3-0 BFA in the Lithuania - 1st Division on 20/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for TransINVEST Vilnius vs BFA?

Before kick-off our model rated a TransINVEST Vilnius win the most likely single outcome at about 68%, with the full match-result split TransINVEST Vilnius 68%, draw 16%, BFA 15%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (TransINVEST Vilnius), Over 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (TransINVEST Vilnius) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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