Lietava Jonava 1-0 Tauras Taurage — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Lithuania - 1st Division, 20 Sep 2025

📅20/09/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-2 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
17%
4.13
Draw
22%
3.94
Away
61%
1.62
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
1.86
Over 2.5
51%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.9
No
54%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
5%
1/2
11%
1/X
4%
X/1
9%
X/2
20%
X/X
9%
2/1
4%
2/2
29%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
17%
Home Win
21%
-3.4pp
22%
Draw
22%
-0.4pp
61%
Away Win
57%
+3.7pp
49%
Under 2.5
50%
-1.3pp
51%
Over 2.5
50%
+1.3pp
46%
BTTS Yes
49%
-2.3pp
54%
BTTS No
51%
+2.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Lietava Jonava EU Bookmakers 24%
Head to Head
AWAY Tauras Taurage EU Bookmakers 62%
-33% / -33% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +2%
0.27/2.69 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.84/0.86
-74% / -33% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -2% / +16%
45% Ball Possession 55%
10 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
238 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 374 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Lietava Jonava
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Tauras Taurage
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
17.05.2025 Tauras Taurage Tauras Taurage 2-0 HT 1-0 Lietava Jonava Lietava Jonava LIT1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Lietava Jonava
1-0
AWAY Tauras Taurage
46% Ball Possession 54%
9 Total Shots 15
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Lietava Jonava vs Tauras Taurage
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Lietava Jonava nicked a narrow win over Tauras Taurage 1-0.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Tauras Taurage at 61% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.

On the day, Lietava Jonava had 46% of the ball to Tauras Taurage's 54%, shots finished 9-15.

What was the final score of Lietava Jonava vs Tauras Taurage?

Lietava Jonava 1-0 Tauras Taurage in the Lithuania - 1st Division on 20/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Lietava Jonava vs Tauras Taurage?

Before kick-off our model rated an Tauras Taurage win the most likely single outcome at about 61%, with the full match-result split Lietava Jonava 17%, draw 22%, Tauras Taurage 61%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS No — while Match Result (Tauras Taurage), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Tauras Taurage) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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