Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Rotor Volgograd edged past Sokol Saratov 1-0 in the Russia - FNL on 12 Apr 2026.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.
On the day, Rotor Volgograd had 56% of the ball to Sokol Saratov's 44%, shots finished 15-9.
Across their last 3 meetings in our records, Rotor Volgograd have the better of it with 1 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Rotor Volgograd and 1.00 for Sokol Saratov.
What was the final score of Rotor Volgograd vs Sokol Saratov?
Rotor Volgograd 1-0 Sokol Saratov in the Russia - FNL on 12/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Rotor Volgograd vs Sokol Saratov?
Before kick-off our model rated a Rotor Volgograd win the most likely single outcome at about 65%, with the full match-result split Rotor Volgograd 65%, draw 21%, Sokol Saratov 14%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Rotor Volgograd), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.