Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
1-1
HT 1-0
Torpedo Moscow
RUS1
1-3
HT 0-1
Torpedo Moscow
RUS
Torpedo Moscow and Arsenal Tula shared the points in a 1-1 draw in the Russia - FNL on 12 Apr 2026. Half-time: 0-0.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 44% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.
On the day, Torpedo Moscow had 55% of the ball to Arsenal Tula's 45%, shots finished 17-10.
Across their last 6 meetings in our records, Torpedo Moscow have the better of it with 2 wins, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Torpedo Moscow and 1.17 for Arsenal Tula.
What was the final score of Torpedo Moscow vs Arsenal Tula?
Torpedo Moscow 1-1 Arsenal Tula in the Russia - FNL on 12/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Torpedo Moscow vs Arsenal Tula?
Before kick-off our model rated a Torpedo Moscow win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Torpedo Moscow 45%, draw 26%, Arsenal Tula 28%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Torpedo Moscow), BTTS No went the other way.