Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
2-2
HT 2-1
Volga Ulyanovsk
RUS1
1-1
HT 1-1
Shinnik
RUS1
Shinnik edged past Volga Ulyanovsk 1-0 away from home in the Russia - FNL on 12 Apr 2026. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
It projected a tighter game, with under 2.5 goals at 62% and both teams scoring was against the odds at 40%.
On the day, Volga Ulyanovsk had 56% of the ball to Shinnik's 44%, shots finished 11-12.
Across their last 3 meetings in our records, Shinnik lead the recent series with 1 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Volga Ulyanovsk and 1.67 for Shinnik.
What was the final score of Volga Ulyanovsk vs Shinnik?
Volga Ulyanovsk 0-1 Shinnik in the Russia - FNL on 12/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Volga Ulyanovsk vs Shinnik?
Before kick-off our model rated a Volga Ulyanovsk win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Volga Ulyanovsk 44%, draw 34%, Shinnik 22%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Volga Ulyanovsk) went the other way.