Stocksund 4-1 Pitea IF — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Sweden - 1st Division, 12 May 2024

📅12/05/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
1.86
Draw
25%
3.72
Away
28%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
41%
2.59
Over 2.5
59%
1.45
Both Teams to Score
Yes
60%
1.43
No
40%
2.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
14%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
7%
1/X
9%
X/1
15%
X/2
8%
X/X
10%
2/1
7%
2/2
12%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Over 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
50%
-3.0pp
26%
Draw
24%
+1.9pp
28%
Away Win
27%
+1.1pp
41%
Under 2.5
35%
+6.5pp
59%
Over 2.5
65%
-6.5pp
60%
BTTS Yes
66%
-5.6pp
40%
BTTS No
34%
+5.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Stocksund EU Bookmakers 54%
Head to Head
AWAY Pitea IF EU Bookmakers 30%
+2% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +18% / +27%
1.63/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.58/1.39
-6% / +25% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +23% / +18%
52% Ball Possession 48%
16 Total Shots 11
7 Shots on Target 5
7 Corners 6
386 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 316 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 1.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Stocksund
1W-0D-1L
AWAY Pitea IF
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
01.10.2023 Stocksund Stocksund 0-1 HT 0-1 Pitea IF Pitea IF İSÇ3
07.04.2023 Pitea IF Pitea IF 2-3 HT 1-1 Stocksund Stocksund İSÇ3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Stocksund
4-1
AWAY Pitea IF
52% Ball Possession 48%
11 Total Shots 17
7 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 4
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Stocksund vs Pitea IF
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Stocksund ran out comfortable winners over Pitea IF 4-1. Half-time: 2-1. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Stocksund as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 4-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (59%), both teams to score (60%) came in.

On the day, Stocksund had 52% of the ball to Pitea IF's 48%, shots finished 11-17.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Stocksund and 1.50 for Pitea IF.

What was the final score of Stocksund vs Pitea IF?

Stocksund 4-1 Pitea IF in the Sweden - 1st Division on 12/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Stocksund vs Pitea IF?

Before kick-off our model rated a Stocksund win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Stocksund 47%, draw 26%, Pitea IF 28%. The final score 4-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Stocksund), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Stocksund) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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