BK Forward 0-1 Herrestads — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Sweden - 2nd Division Östra Götaland, 12 May 2024

BK Forward
0-1 HT 0-1
Herrestads
📅12/05/2024 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-2 ✗
Sweden - 2nd Division Östra Götaland – 2024

BK Forward vs Herrestads Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
3.08
Draw
26%
3.72
Away
41%
1.91
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
2.38
Over 2.5
48%
1.52
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.49
No
46%
2.44
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
44%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
10%
1/X
6%
X/1
9%
X/2
12%
X/X
17%
2/1
5%
2/2
19%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
32%
Home Win
29%
+3.8pp
26%
Draw
23%
+3.1pp
41%
Away Win
48%
-6.9pp
52%
Under 2.5
38%
+13.9pp
48%
Over 2.5
62%
-13.9pp
54%
BTTS Yes
63%
-9.0pp
46%
BTTS No
37%
+9.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

BK Forward v Herrestads — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME BK Forward EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY Herrestads EU Bookmakers 52%
-19% / -19% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -5%
0.95/1.89 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.32/1.14
-38% / -11% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -28% / +17%
40% Ball Possession 60%
12 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 5
313 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 287 · 78%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
2.0 Yellow Cards –

BK Forward vs Herrestads Head-to-Head — Last 2 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME BK Forward
1W-1D-0L
AWAY Herrestads
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
52% Ball Possession 48%
8 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 6
8 Corners 8
2 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
24.09.2023 BK Forward BK Forward 2-1 HT 2-0 Herrestads Herrestads İSÇ4
03.06.2023 Herrestads Herrestads 1-1 HT 1-0 BK Forward BK Forward İSÇ4
POST-MATCH BK Forward vs Herrestads
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Herrestads edged past BK Forward 1-0 away from home.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Herrestads as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, BK Forward had the better of it with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for BK Forward and 1.00 for Herrestads.

What was the final score of BK Forward vs Herrestads?

BK Forward 0-1 Herrestads in the Sweden - 2nd Division Östra Götaland on 12/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for BK Forward vs Herrestads?

Before kick-off our model rated an Herrestads win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split BK Forward 32%, draw 26%, Herrestads 41%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Herrestads), Under 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Herrestads) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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