Rappe 1-3 IFK Trelleborg — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Sweden - 2nd Division Östra Götaland, 12 May 2024

📅12/05/2024 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 3-3
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
1.75
Draw
32%
3.94
Away
25%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
24%
2.89
Over 2.5
76%
1.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
72%
1.38
No
28%
2.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
12%
2-3 Goals
31%
4-5 Goals
37%
6+ Goals
20%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
5%
1/X
10%
X/1
10%
X/2
10%
X/X
15%
2/1
8%
2/2
9%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
53%
-10.1pp
32%
Draw
22%
+10.0pp
25%
Away Win
24%
+0.1pp
24%
Under 2.5
31%
-7.1pp
76%
Over 2.5
69%
+7.1pp
72%
BTTS Yes
68%
+3.8pp
28%
BTTS No
32%
-3.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Rappe EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY IFK Trelleborg EU Bookmakers 28%
+1% / +10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -21% / -21%
2.12/1.18 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.36/2.45
+0% / +5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -2% / -19%
54% Ball Possession 46%
12 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 5
398 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 307 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 4.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Rappe
1W-0D-1L
AWAY IFK Trelleborg
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
17.09.2023 Rappe Rappe 3-0 HT 1-0 IFK Trelleborg IFK Trelleborg İSÇ4
21.05.2023 IFK Trelleborg IFK Trelleborg 3-1 HT 0-0 Rappe Rappe İSÇ4
POST-MATCH Rappe vs IFK Trelleborg
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

IFK Trelleborg got the better of Rappe 3-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Rappe at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (76%), both teams to score (72%), and both reads landed as well.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Rappe and 1.50 for IFK Trelleborg.

What was the final score of Rappe vs IFK Trelleborg?

Rappe 1-3 IFK Trelleborg in the Sweden - 2nd Division Östra Götaland on 12/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Rappe vs IFK Trelleborg?

Before kick-off our model rated a Rappe win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Rappe 43%, draw 32%, IFK Trelleborg 25%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Rappe) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Rappe) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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