Sandvikens AIK 2-4 Arlanda — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Sweden - 2nd Division Östra Götaland, 12 May 2024

📅12/05/2024 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
24%
3.32
Draw
22%
3.8
Away
54%
1.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
2.61
Over 2.5
49%
1.45
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.43
No
47%
2.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
2-3 Goals
46%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
7%
1/X
4%
X/1
8%
X/2
11%
X/X
7%
2/1
4%
2/2
36%
2/X
11%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
24%
Home Win
26%
-2.2pp
22%
Draw
22%
-0.3pp
54%
Away Win
51%
+2.6pp
51%
Under 2.5
35%
+16.8pp
49%
Over 2.5
65%
-16.8pp
53%
BTTS Yes
66%
-12.7pp
47%
BTTS No
34%
+12.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sandvikens AIK EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY Arlanda EU Bookmakers 56%
+16% / +16% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +26% / +26%
1.36/1.21 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.21/1.21
-3% / +47% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +21% / +11%
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
229 · 69% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 312 · 72%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sandvikens AIK
2W-1D-1L
AWAY Arlanda
2.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.75
6 Corners 5
19.08.2023 Arlanda Arlanda 1-0 HT 0-0 Sandvikens AIK Sandvikens AIK İSÇ4
23.04.2023 Sandvikens AIK Sandvikens AIK 1-1 HT 1-0 Arlanda Arlanda İSÇ4
06.10.2021 Arlanda Arlanda 3-5 HT 1-2 Sandvikens AIK Sandvikens AIK İSÇ4
11.07.2021 Sandvikens AIK Sandvikens AIK 4-2 HT 2-1 Arlanda Arlanda İSÇ4
POST-MATCH Sandvikens AIK vs Arlanda
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Arlanda got the better of Sandvikens AIK 4-2 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Arlanda as the likeliest winner at 54%, and the 4-2 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, Sandvikens AIK had the better of it with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.50 goals for Sandvikens AIK and 1.75 for Arlanda.

What was the final score of Sandvikens AIK vs Arlanda?

Sandvikens AIK 2-4 Arlanda in the Sweden - 2nd Division Östra Götaland on 12/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sandvikens AIK vs Arlanda?

Before kick-off our model rated an Arlanda win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split Sandvikens AIK 24%, draw 22%, Arlanda 54%. The final score 2-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Arlanda), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Arlanda) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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