Utebo 2-2 Numancia — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division RFEF, 12 May 2024

📅12/05/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.53
Draw
25%
3.04
Away
36%
2.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.51
Over 2.5
42%
2.43
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
2.09
No
55%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
5%
1/X
8%
X/1
10%
X/2
16%
X/X
12%
2/1
7%
2/2
15%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
36%
+2.7pp
26%
Draw
30%
-4.3pp
36%
Away Win
34%
+1.5pp
58%
Under 2.5
62%
-4.2pp
42%
Over 2.5
38%
+4.2pp
45%
BTTS Yes
44%
+1.6pp
55%
BTTS No
56%
-1.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Utebo EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Numancia EU Bookmakers 37%
-11% / -11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +9% / +12%
0.88/1.31 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.22/0.77
-21% / -26% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +18% / +35%
44% Ball Possession 56%
8 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 3
280 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 330 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.8 Yellow Cards 2.9
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Utebo
2-2
AWAY Numancia
62% Ball Possession 38%
15 Total Shots 10
8 Shots on Target 6
9 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Utebo vs Numancia
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Utebo and Numancia couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. Half-time: 1-1.

Our pre-match split (39% / 26% / 36%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (58%), no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Utebo had 62% of the ball to Numancia's 38%, shots finished 15-10.

What was the final score of Utebo vs Numancia?

Utebo 2-2 Numancia in the Spain - 2nd Division RFEF on 12/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Utebo vs Numancia?

Before kick-off our model rated a Utebo win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Utebo 39%, draw 26%, Numancia 36%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Utebo) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
İS4 More Spain - 2nd Division RFEF
12 May 2024
12:30 Getafe II vs Marbella Analysis →
13:00 Ciudad Real vs Real Aviles Analysis →
13:00 Atlético Paso vs Barakaldo Analysis →
13:00 Formentera vs Izarra Analysis →
13:00 Zaragoza II vs Pontevedra Analysis →
13:00 Rayo Cantabria vs SS Reyes Analysis →