St. Gallen 1-1 Servette — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Switzerland - Super League, 12 May 2024

📅12/05/2024 · 🕒17:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.19
Draw
24%
3.54
Away
34%
2.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
2.51
Over 2.5
50%
1.48
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.43
No
51%
2.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
25%
5.56
2-3 Goals
40%
2.02
4-5 Goals
23%
2.64
6+ Goals
12%
6.33
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 5.56 — our 25% vs market 13.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
3.1
1/2
7%
25.5
1/X
6%
12.15
X/1 EV+ ✗
20%
5.62
X/2
11%
6.48
X/X
9%
5.75
2/1
7%
22.7
2/2
16%
3.77
2/X
9%
12.2
Value flag · X/1 at 5.62 — our 20% vs market 13.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
42%
+0.8pp
24%
Draw
25%
-0.9pp
34%
Away Win
34%
+0.1pp
50%
Under 2.5
36%
+13.8pp
50%
Over 2.5
64%
-13.8pp
49%
BTTS Yes
66%
-16.3pp
51%
BTTS No
34%
+16.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME St. Gallen EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Servette EU Bookmakers 37%
-2% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +22%
1.62/1.33 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.48/1.37
+15% / -14% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -16% / +18%
51% Ball Possession 49%
14 Total Shots 13
6 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 6
324 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 314 · 75%
25.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 22.9
18.7 Crosses 19.5
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME St. Gallen
1W-3D-2L
AWAY Servette
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.46 xG 1.72
54% Ball Possession 46%
19 Total Shots 15
5 Shots on Target 5
7 Corners 6
302 Passes 244
75% Pass Accuracy 71%
30 Box Touches 24
18 Crosses 19
2 Yellow Cards 2
02.03.2024 Servette Servette 2-0 HT 1-0 St. Gallen St. Gallen İSV
31.01.2024 St. Gallen St. Gallen 0-2 HT 0-2 Servette Servette İSV
12.08.2023 Servette Servette 1-1 HT 1-0 St. Gallen St. Gallen İSV
29.04.2023 Servette Servette 1-1 HT 1-1 St. Gallen St. Gallen İSV
04.02.2023 St. Gallen St. Gallen 3-0 HT 2-0 Servette Servette İSV
23.10.2022 St. Gallen St. Gallen 1-1 HT 0-1 Servette Servette İSV
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME St. Gallen
1-1
AWAY Servette
0.95 xG 1.76
60% Ball Possession 40%
17 Total Shots 20
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 5
402 Passes 218
83% Pass Accuracy 71%
23 Box Touches 17
15 Crosses 27
3 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH St. Gallen vs Servette
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

St. Gallen and Servette couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1.

Our pre-match lean was St. Gallen at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, St. Gallen had 60% of the ball to Servette's 40%, shots finished 17-20, expected goals 0.95 to 1.76.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Servette led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for St. Gallen and 1.17 for Servette.

What was the final score of St. Gallen vs Servette?

St. Gallen 1-1 Servette in the Switzerland - Super League on 12/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for St. Gallen vs Servette?

Before kick-off our model rated a St. Gallen win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split St. Gallen 42%, draw 24%, Servette 34%. The final score 1-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (St. Gallen) ✗ BTTS No
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