Virtus Francavilla 1-1 SS Monopoli — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie C, 12 May 2024

📅12/05/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
2.46
Draw
28%
3.11
Away
29%
2.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.6
Over 2.5
44%
2.21
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.96
No
51%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2.49
2-3 Goals
41%
1.78
4-5 Goals
19%
4.78
6+ Goals
8%
27.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
8%
1/X
6%
X/1
15%
X/2
8%
X/X
13%
2/1
5%
2/2
14%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
37%
+6.0pp
28%
Draw
29%
-1.2pp
29%
Away Win
34%
-4.6pp
56%
Under 2.5
59%
-2.2pp
44%
Over 2.5
41%
+2.2pp
49%
BTTS Yes
47%
+2.2pp
51%
BTTS No
53%
-2.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Virtus Francavilla EU Bookmakers 41%
Head to Head
AWAY SS Monopoli EU Bookmakers 37%
-3% / -8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +0%
1.11/1.05 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.98/0.96
-5% / +1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -14% / +15%
47% Ball Possession 53%
10 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
255 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 331 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.8 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Virtus Francavilla
1W-2D-3L
AWAY SS Monopoli
0.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
50% Ball Possession 50%
9 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 3
26.02.2024 Virtus Francavilla Virtus Francavilla 0-0 HT 0-0 SS Monopoli SS Monopoli İTC
20.10.2023 SS Monopoli SS Monopoli 3-0 HT 1-0 Virtus Francavilla Virtus Francavilla İTC
26.03.2023 Virtus Francavilla Virtus Francavilla 2-0 HT 2-0 SS Monopoli SS Monopoli İTC
27.11.2022 SS Monopoli SS Monopoli 1-0 HT 0-0 Virtus Francavilla Virtus Francavilla İTC
04.05.2022 SS Monopoli SS Monopoli 1-0 HT 0-0 Virtus Francavilla Virtus Francavilla İTC
30.01.2022 SS Monopoli SS Monopoli 0-0 HT 0-0 Virtus Francavilla Virtus Francavilla İTC
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Virtus Francavilla
1-1
AWAY SS Monopoli
52% Ball Possession 48%
5 Total Shots 11
1 Shots on Target 4
0 Corners 3
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Virtus Francavilla vs SS Monopoli
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Virtus Francavilla and SS Monopoli shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match lean was Virtus Francavilla at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (56%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Virtus Francavilla had 52% of the ball to SS Monopoli's 48%, shots finished 5-11.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, SS Monopoli led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.33 goals for Virtus Francavilla and 0.83 for SS Monopoli.

What was the final score of Virtus Francavilla vs SS Monopoli?

Virtus Francavilla 1-1 SS Monopoli in the Italy - Serie C on 12/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Virtus Francavilla vs SS Monopoli?

Before kick-off our model rated a Virtus Francavilla win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Virtus Francavilla 43%, draw 28%, SS Monopoli 29%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Virtus Francavilla), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Virtus Francavilla) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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