Recanatese 1-0 Vis Pesaro — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie C, 12 May 2024

Recanatese
1-0 HT 1-0
Vis Pesaro
📅12/05/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✓
Italy - Serie C – 2023/2024

Recanatese vs Vis Pesaro Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.27
Draw
29%
3.11
Away
35%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.67
Over 2.5
44%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.85
No
49%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2.71
2-3 Goals
42%
1.77
4-5 Goals
21%
4.32
6+ Goals
10%
21.85
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
8%
1/X
9%
X/1
14%
X/2
14%
X/X
10%
2/1
7%
2/2
13%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
40%
-4.0pp
29%
Draw
29%
+0.7pp
34%
Away Win
31%
+3.4pp
56%
Under 2.5
56%
+0.0pp
44%
Over 2.5
44%
+0.0pp
51%
BTTS Yes
50%
+0.9pp
49%
BTTS No
50%
-0.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Recanatese v Vis Pesaro — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Recanatese EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Vis Pesaro EU Bookmakers 34%
-9% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +3%
1.42/1.04 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.05/1.04
+16% / -3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -1% / +12%
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
346 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 287 · 74%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
2.6 Yellow Cards 2.8

Recanatese vs Vis Pesaro Head-to-Head — Last 5 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Recanatese
2W-1D-2L
AWAY Vis Pesaro
0.60 Avg Goals (FT) 0.80
49% Ball Possession 51%
10 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
3 Yellow Cards 4
The Meetings
24.02.2024 Recanatese Recanatese 1-0 HT 1-0 Vis Pesaro Vis Pesaro İTC
22.10.2023 Vis Pesaro Vis Pesaro 1-0 HT 0-0 Recanatese Recanatese İTC
05.10.2023 Recanatese Recanatese 1-3 HT 0-0 Vis Pesaro Vis Pesaro İTCK
23.12.2022 Vis Pesaro Vis Pesaro 0-1 HT 0-0 Recanatese Recanatese İTC
04.09.2022 Recanatese Recanatese 0-0 HT 0-0 Vis Pesaro Vis Pesaro İTC
POST-MATCH Recanatese vs Vis Pesaro
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Recanatese squeezed past Vis Pesaro 1-0.

Our pre-match split (36% / 29% / 34%) promised a tight game; Recanatese found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (56%), and that read landed as well.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.60 goals for Recanatese and 0.80 for Vis Pesaro.

What was the final score of Recanatese vs Vis Pesaro?

Recanatese 1-0 Vis Pesaro in the Italy - Serie C on 12/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Recanatese vs Vis Pesaro?

Before kick-off our model rated a Recanatese win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Recanatese 36%, draw 29%, Vis Pesaro 34%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Recanatese), Under 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Recanatese) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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