Inter Milano (K) 2-4 Sassuolo (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italya - Women's Serie A, 12 May 2024

📅12/05/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
54%
1.8
Draw
24%
3.72
Away
22%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
2.23
Over 2.5
57%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.55
No
44%
2.29
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
27%
6+ Goals
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
31%
1/2
7%
1/X
5%
X/1
19%
X/2
4%
X/X
11%
2/1
4%
2/2
11%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
54%
Home Win
51%
+2.7pp
24%
Draw
23%
+1.0pp
22%
Away Win
25%
-3.6pp
43%
Under 2.5
41%
+2.5pp
57%
Over 2.5
59%
-2.5pp
56%
BTTS Yes
60%
-4.4pp
44%
BTTS No
40%
+4.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Inter Milano (K) EU Bookmakers 56%
Head to Head
AWAY Sassuolo (K) EU Bookmakers 29%
+12% / +12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +50% / +50%
2.00/1.09 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.00/0.00
+39% / +1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +142% /
53% Ball Possession 47%
16 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
360 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 298 · 74%
37.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
13.0 Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Inter Milano (K)
0W-0D-2L
AWAY Sassuolo (K)
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.44 xG 0.44
56% Ball Possession 44%
18 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
352 Passes 252
76% Pass Accuracy 68%
34 Box Touches 14
26 Crosses 12
0 Yellow Cards 1
13.04.2024 Sassuolo (K) Sassuolo (K) 2-1 HT 0-0 Inter Milano (K) Inter Milano (K) İTKSA
14.01.2024 Inter Milano (K) Inter Milano (K) 0-1 HT 0-1 Sassuolo (K) Sassuolo (K) İTKSA
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Inter Milano (K)
2-4
AWAY Sassuolo (K)
2.43 xG 1.72
62% Ball Possession 38%
17 Total Shots 11
10 Shots on Target 5
0 Corners 2
384 Passes 203
79% Pass Accuracy 68%
29 Box Touches 22
19 Crosses 11
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Inter Milano (K) vs Sassuolo (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sassuolo (K) saw off Inter Milano (K) 4-2 away from home. Half-time: 0-3. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Inter Milano (K) at 54%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (57%), both teams to score (56%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Inter Milano (K) had 62% of the ball to Sassuolo (K)'s 38%, shots finished 17-11, expected goals 2.43 to 1.72 — on chances, Inter Milano (K) could feel hard done by.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Sassuolo (K) led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Inter Milano (K) and 1.50 for Sassuolo (K).

What was the final score of Inter Milano (K) vs Sassuolo (K)?

Inter Milano (K) 2-4 Sassuolo (K) in the Italya - Women's Serie A on 12/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Inter Milano (K) vs Sassuolo (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated a Inter Milano (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split Inter Milano (K) 54%, draw 24%, Sassuolo (K) 22%. The final score 2-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Inter Milano (K)) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Inter Milano (K)) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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