MSV Duisburg vs Erzgebirge Aue Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
MSV Duisburg v Erzgebirge Aue — Team-Based Signals
MSV Duisburg vs Erzgebirge Aue Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-1
HT 1-0
MSV Duisburg
AL3
3-0
HT 1-0
Erzgebirge Aue
AL3
0-2
HT 0-1
MSV Duisburg
AL3
0-0
HT 0-0
MSV Duisburg
AL2
1-2
HT 1-0
Erzgebirge Aue
AL2
1-3
HT 0-0
MSV Duisburg
AL2
MSV Duisburg 2-2 Erzgebirge Aue — Actual Match Statistics
MSV Duisburg and Erzgebirge Aue shared the points in a 2-2 draw. Half-time: 0-1.
We called this one close before kick-off — 36% / 26% / 38% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.
On the day, MSV Duisburg had 41% of the ball to Erzgebirge Aue's 59%, shots finished 9-15.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, MSV Duisburg had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for MSV Duisburg and 0.67 for Erzgebirge Aue.
What was the final score of MSV Duisburg vs Erzgebirge Aue?
MSV Duisburg 2-2 Erzgebirge Aue in the Germany - 3rd Division on 12/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for MSV Duisburg vs Erzgebirge Aue?
Before kick-off our model rated an Erzgebirge Aue win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split MSV Duisburg 36%, draw 26%, Erzgebirge Aue 38%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.