Verl 2-0 Preussen Münster — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - 3rd Division, 12 May 2024

📅12/05/2024 · 🕒17:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
29%
2.84
Draw
31%
3.45
Away
40%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
2.18
Over 2.5
57%
1.62
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.55
No
44%
2.29
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
4.38
2-3 Goals
36%
1.88
4-5 Goals
29%
2.95
6+ Goals
12%
8.79
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
4.46
1/2 EV+ ✗
8%
23.15
1/X
8%
12.8
X/1
11%
6.85
X/2
14%
5.01
X/X
15%
5.28
2/1
6%
30.0
2/2
18%
2.87
2/X
8%
12.6
Value flag · 1/2 at 23.15 — our 8% vs market 2.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
29%
Home Win
31%
-2.1pp
31%
Draw
25%
+5.2pp
40%
Away Win
43%
-3.1pp
43%
Under 2.5
42%
+1.4pp
57%
Over 2.5
58%
-1.4pp
56%
BTTS Yes
60%
-4.0pp
44%
BTTS No
40%
+4.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Verl EU Bookmakers 35%
Head to Head
AWAY Preussen Münster EU Bookmakers 48%
+0% / +13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +16% / +20%
1.24/1.30 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 3.12/1.74
-4% / +11% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +91% / -36%
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 5
345 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 428 · 83%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.5 Yellow Cards 0.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Verl
0W-1D-1L
AWAY Preussen Münster
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 3.00
47% Ball Possession 53%
8 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 6
4 Yellow Cards 5
10.12.2023 Preussen Münster Preussen Münster 3-1 HT 0-0 Verl Verl AL3
13.07.2018 Preussen Münster Preussen Münster 3-3 HT 3-1 Verl Verl HAZ
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Verl
2-0
AWAY Preussen Münster
62% Ball Possession 38%
16 Total Shots 11
8 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 8
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Verl vs Preussen Münster
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Verl beat Preussen Münster 2-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (29% / 31% / 40%) promised a tight game; Verl found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (57%), both teams to score (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Verl had 62% of the ball to Preussen Münster's 38%, shots finished 16-11.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Preussen Münster led the recent series with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Verl and 3.00 for Preussen Münster.

What was the final score of Verl vs Preussen Münster?

Verl 2-0 Preussen Münster in the Germany - 3rd Division on 12/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Verl vs Preussen Münster?

Before kick-off our model rated an Preussen Münster win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Verl 29%, draw 31%, Preussen Münster 40%. The final score 2-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Preussen Münster) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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