Deinze 1-2 Lommel United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Belgium - 1st Division, 12 May 2024

Deinze
1-2 HT 0-1
Lommel United
📅12/05/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 ✓ 2nd Score 2-1 ✗
Belgium - 1st Division – 2023/2024

Deinze vs Lommel United Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.53
Draw
27%
3.28
Away
37%
2.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
1.91
Over 2.5
54%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
58%
1.66
No
42%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
3.52
2-3 Goals
40%
1.8
4-5 Goals
22%
3.4
6+ Goals
14%
12.7
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
3.88
1/2
7%
27.5
1/X
8%
12.7
X/1 EV+ ✗
21%
5.84
X/2
6%
5.45
X/X
14%
4.64
2/1
4%
29.0
2/2
24%
3.52
2/X
5%
12.6
Value flag · X/1 at 5.84 — our 21% vs market 12.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
36%
+0.3pp
27%
Draw
27%
-0.6pp
37%
Away Win
37%
+0.3pp
46%
Under 2.5
48%
-2.7pp
54%
Over 2.5
52%
+2.7pp
58%
BTTS Yes
56%
+1.9pp
42%
BTTS No
44%
-1.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Deinze v Lommel United — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Deinze EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Lommel United EU Bookmakers 40%
+17% / +19% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -10% / -25%
1.22/1.40 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.15/1.30
+28% / +18% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -8% / -13%
48% Ball Possession 52%
13 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
292 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 370 · 79%
21.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.6
19.6 Crosses 14.2
2.5 Yellow Cards 2.2

Deinze vs Lommel United Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Deinze
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Lommel United
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
1.43 xG 1.21
48% Ball Possession 52%
14 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
367 Passes 428
80% Pass Accuracy 84%
26 Box Touches 20
20 Crosses 12
2 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
05.05.2024 Lommel United Lommel United 1-1 HT 0-0 Deinze Deinze BEL2
13.04.2024 Deinze Deinze 3-2 HT 2-1 Lommel United Lommel United BEL2
26.08.2023 Lommel United Lommel United 1-0 HT 0-0 Deinze Deinze BEL2
14.04.2023 Lommel United Lommel United 4-1 HT 1-0 Deinze Deinze BEL2
18.03.2023 Deinze Deinze 1-1 HT 1-0 Lommel United Lommel United BEL2
11.12.2022 Lommel United Lommel United 1-0 HT 0-0 Deinze Deinze BEL2

Deinze 1-2 Lommel United — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Deinze
1-2
AWAY Lommel United
0.38 xG 0.85
47% Ball Possession 53%
8 Total Shots 19
5 Shots on Target 8
4 Corners 7
295 Passes 366
73% Pass Accuracy 82%
13 Box Touches 33
14 Crosses 16
5 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Deinze vs Lommel United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Lommel United squeezed past Deinze 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match split (36% / 27% / 37%) promised a tight game; Lommel United found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged both teams to score (58%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Deinze had 47% of the ball to Lommel United's 53%, shots finished 8-19, expected goals 0.38 to 0.85.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Lommel United led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Deinze and 1.67 for Lommel United.

What was the final score of Deinze vs Lommel United?

Deinze 1-2 Lommel United in the Belgium - 1st Division on 12/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Deinze vs Lommel United?

Before kick-off our model rated an Lommel United win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Deinze 36%, draw 27%, Lommel United 37%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Lommel United), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Lommel United) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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