Brondby 1-3 Kopenhag — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Denmark - Süperlig, 12 May 2024

Brondby
1-3 HT 1-1
Kopenhag
📅12/05/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 ✗ 2nd Score 2-1 ✗
Denmark - Süperlig – 2025/2026

Brondby vs Kopenhag Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
2.94
Draw
23%
3.18
Away
43%
2.23
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
42%
1.91
Over 2.5
58%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
58%
1.66
No
42%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
3.51
2-3 Goals
41%
1.8
4-5 Goals
26%
3.4
6+ Goals
11%
12.75
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
4.67
1/2 EV+ ✗
9%
26.0
1/X
7%
12.45
X/1
11%
6.8
X/2
14%
5.06
X/X
10%
4.48
2/1
6%
33.0
2/2
20%
3.05
2/X
6%
12.1
Value flag · 1/2 at 26.0 — our 9% vs market 1.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
31%
+3.1pp
23%
Draw
28%
-5.0pp
43%
Away Win
41%
+2.0pp
42%
Under 2.5
48%
-6.8pp
58%
Over 2.5
52%
+6.8pp
58%
BTTS Yes
56%
+1.8pp
42%
BTTS No
44%
-1.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Brondby v Kopenhag — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Brondby EU Bookmakers 34%
Head to Head
AWAY Kopenhag EU Bookmakers 45%
+1% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +3%
1.39/1.59 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.51/1.45
+13% / +0% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +13% / +3%
48% Ball Possession 52%
11 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
311 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 367 · 76%
23.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 22.4
17.3 Crosses 15.3
2.4 Yellow Cards 2.5

Brondby vs Kopenhag Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Brondby
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Kopenhag
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.41 xG 1.54
47% Ball Possession 53%
10 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
358 Passes 414
80% Pass Accuracy 82%
21 Box Touches 28
16 Crosses 21
2 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
01.04.2024 Kopenhag Kopenhag 1-2 HT 1-0 Brondby Brondby DAN
12.11.2023 Kopenhag Kopenhag 0-0 HT 0-0 Brondby Brondby DAN
24.09.2023 Brondby Brondby 2-3 HT 1-0 Kopenhag Kopenhag DAN
14.05.2023 Brondby Brondby 1-3 HT 0-1 Kopenhag Kopenhag DAN
30.04.2023 Kopenhag Kopenhag 0-1 HT 0-0 Brondby Brondby DAN
16.10.2022 Brondby Brondby 1-1 HT 1-0 Kopenhag Kopenhag DAN
POST-MATCH Brondby vs Kopenhag
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Kopenhag got the better of Brondby 3-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Kopenhag as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (58%), both teams to score (58%), and both reads landed as well.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Brondby and 1.33 for Kopenhag.

What was the final score of Brondby vs Kopenhag?

Brondby 1-3 Kopenhag in the Denmark - Süperlig on 12/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Brondby vs Kopenhag?

Before kick-off our model rated an Kopenhag win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Brondby 34%, draw 23%, Kopenhag 43%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Kopenhag), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Kopenhag) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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