Viborg 1-2 Vejle — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Denmark - Süperlig, 12 May 2024

Viborg
1-2 HT 1-1
Vejle
📅12/05/2024 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
2.0
Draw
26%
3.35
Away
30%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.91
Over 2.5
47%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.7
No
49%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
29%
3.45
2-3 Goals
40%
1.79
4-5 Goals
21%
3.46
6+ Goals
10%
13.15
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.45 — our 29% vs market 23.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
2.77
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
7%
12.85
X/1
15%
4.64
X/2
11%
7.25
X/X
13%
4.66
2/1
7%
24.85
2/2
14%
5.22
2/X
6%
13.3
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
46%
-2.7pp
26%
Draw
26%
-0.3pp
30%
Away Win
27%
+3.0pp
53%
Under 2.5
48%
+4.9pp
47%
Over 2.5
52%
-4.9pp
51%
BTTS Yes
55%
-3.9pp
49%
BTTS No
45%
+3.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Viborg EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Vejle EU Bookmakers 31%
-11% / -8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +3%
1.42/1.57 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.09/1.14
-10% / -25% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -25% / +55%
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
358 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 350 · 79%
24.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.3
21.6 Crosses 19.1
1.6 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Viborg
2W-4D-0L
AWAY Vejle
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.82 xG 0.76
55% Ball Possession 45%
15 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 6
355 Passes 269
80% Pass Accuracy 74%
23 Box Touches 16
19 Crosses 19
2 Yellow Cards 2
07.04.2024 Vejle Vejle 1-1 HT 0-0 Viborg Viborg DAN
29.10.2023 Vejle Vejle 1-1 HT 1-0 Viborg Viborg DAN
21.08.2023 Viborg Viborg 2-1 HT 0-0 Vejle Vejle DAN
09.05.2022 Viborg Viborg 2-2 HT 0-1 Vejle Vejle DAN
11.04.2022 Vejle Vejle 2-2 HT 1-1 Viborg Viborg DAN
13.03.2022 Viborg Viborg 2-0 HT 1-0 Vejle Vejle DAN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Viborg
1-2
AWAY Vejle
2.34 xG 0.59
68% Ball Possession 32%
14 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
459 Passes 173
83% Pass Accuracy 66%
27 Box Touches 8
26 Crosses 15
1 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Viborg vs Vejle
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Vejle edged past Viborg 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Viborg at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Viborg had 68% of the ball to Vejle's 32%, shots finished 14-8, expected goals 2.34 to 0.59 — on chances, Viborg could feel hard done by.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Viborg had the better of it with 2 wins, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Viborg and 1.17 for Vejle.

What was the final score of Viborg vs Vejle?

Viborg 1-2 Vejle in the Denmark - Süperlig on 12/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Viborg vs Vejle?

Before kick-off our model rated a Viborg win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Viborg 43%, draw 26%, Vejle 30%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Viborg), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Viborg) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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