Puszcza Niepolomice vs Warta Poznan Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Puszcza Niepolomice v Warta Poznan — Team-Based Signals
Puszcza Niepolomice vs Warta Poznan Head-to-Head — Last 3 Meetings
0-2
HT 0-2
Puszcza Niepolomice
POL
1-2
HT 0-1
Puszcza Niepolomice
POL1
0-2
HT 0-1
Warta Poznan
POL1
Puszcza Niepolomice 1-0 Warta Poznan — Actual Match Statistics
Puszcza Niepolomice squeezed past Warta Poznan 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
Our pre-match split (36% / 31% / 32%) promised a tight game; Puszcza Niepolomice found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (62%), no to both teams scoring (55%), and both reads landed as well.
On the day, Puszcza Niepolomice had 38% of the ball to Warta Poznan's 62%, shots finished 22-11, expected goals 2.05 to 0.61 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Puszcza Niepolomice's control.
For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Puszcza Niepolomice had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Puszcza Niepolomice and 1.00 for Warta Poznan.
What was the final score of Puszcza Niepolomice vs Warta Poznan?
Puszcza Niepolomice 1-0 Warta Poznan in the Poland - Ekstraklasa on 12/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Puszcza Niepolomice vs Warta Poznan?
Before kick-off our model rated a Puszcza Niepolomice win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Puszcza Niepolomice 36%, draw 31%, Warta Poznan 32%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Puszcza Niepolomice), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.