Widzew Lodz 1-3 Zaglebie Lubin — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Poland - Ekstraklasa, 12 May 2024

Widzew Lodz
1-3 HT 0-2
Zaglebie Lubin
📅12/05/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-2 ✗
Poland - Ekstraklasa – 2023/2024

Widzew Lodz vs Zaglebie Lubin Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.12
Draw
26%
3.54
Away
33%
2.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
2.23
Over 2.5
54%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
58%
1.5
No
42%
2.4
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
4.64
2-3 Goals
44%
1.91
4-5 Goals
22%
2.86
6+ Goals
11%
8.07
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
2.98
1/2
8%
28.0
1/X
6%
12.8
X/1
19%
5.15
X/2
9%
6.53
X/X
9%
5.51
2/1
6%
23.15
2/2
16%
4.13
2/X
11%
12.95
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
43%
-2.3pp
26%
Draw
25%
+1.7pp
33%
Away Win
32%
+0.7pp
46%
Under 2.5
41%
+5.3pp
54%
Over 2.5
59%
-5.3pp
58%
BTTS Yes
62%
-5.0pp
42%
BTTS No
38%
+5.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Widzew Lodz v Zaglebie Lubin — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Widzew Lodz EU Bookmakers 47%
Head to Head
AWAY Zaglebie Lubin EU Bookmakers 36%
+6% / +7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +10%
1.38/0.98 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.39/1.67
-8% / +1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +22% / -11%
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
314 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 353 · 78%
23.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.8
25.7 Crosses 17.0
1.9 Yellow Cards 1.7

Widzew Lodz vs Zaglebie Lubin Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Widzew Lodz
1W-3D-2L
AWAY Zaglebie Lubin
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
1.63 xG 1.41
48% Ball Possession 52%
13 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
329 Passes 308
79% Pass Accuracy 78%
24 Box Touches 24
20 Crosses 21
1 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
11.11.2023 Zaglebie Lubin Zaglebie Lubin 1-1 HT 0-0 Widzew Lodz Widzew Lodz POL
29.04.2023 Zaglebie Lubin Zaglebie Lubin 2-0 HT 1-0 Widzew Lodz Widzew Lodz POL
16.10.2022 Widzew Lodz Widzew Lodz 3-0 HT 1-0 Zaglebie Lubin Zaglebie Lubin POL
25.06.2019 Zaglebie Lubin Zaglebie Lubin 1-1 HT 0-1 Widzew Lodz Widzew Lodz HAZ
31.10.2014 Widzew Lodz Widzew Lodz 0-3 HT 0-1 Zaglebie Lubin Zaglebie Lubin POL1
31.05.2014 Zaglebie Lubin Zaglebie Lubin 3-3 HT 1-2 Widzew Lodz Widzew Lodz POL

Widzew Lodz 1-3 Zaglebie Lubin — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Widzew Lodz
1-3
AWAY Zaglebie Lubin
1.04 xG 1.04
61% Ball Possession 39%
16 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 3
516 Passes 315
87% Pass Accuracy 80%
16 Box Touches 8
31 Crosses 7
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Widzew Lodz vs Zaglebie Lubin
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Zaglebie Lubin beat Widzew Lodz 3-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.

Our pre-match lean was Widzew Lodz at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — both teams to score (58%) came in.

On the day, Widzew Lodz had 61% of the ball to Zaglebie Lubin's 39%, shots finished 16-11, expected goals 1.04 to 1.04.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Zaglebie Lubin led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Widzew Lodz and 1.67 for Zaglebie Lubin.

What was the final score of Widzew Lodz vs Zaglebie Lubin?

Widzew Lodz 1-3 Zaglebie Lubin in the Poland - Ekstraklasa on 12/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Widzew Lodz vs Zaglebie Lubin?

Before kick-off our model rated a Widzew Lodz win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Widzew Lodz 41%, draw 26%, Zaglebie Lubin 33%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Widzew Lodz) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Widzew Lodz) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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