Liverpool FC (Montevideo) 2-1 Cerro Largo — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Uruguay - Premier League, 12 May 2024

Liverpool FC (Montevideo)
2-1 HT 2-1
Cerro Largo
📅12/05/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
Uruguay - Premier League – 2024

Liverpool FC (Montevideo) vs Cerro Largo Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.46
Draw
26%
3.11
Away
36%
2.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.67
Over 2.5
42%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
1.85
No
59%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
8%
1/X
7%
X/1
17%
X/2
12%
X/X
13%
2/1
7%
2/2
16%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
37%
+0.8pp
26%
Draw
29%
-2.9pp
36%
Away Win
34%
+2.2pp
58%
Under 2.5
56%
+2.1pp
42%
Over 2.5
44%
-2.1pp
41%
BTTS Yes
50%
-9.2pp
59%
BTTS No
50%
+9.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Liverpool FC (Montevideo) v Cerro Largo — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Liverpool FC (Montevideo) EU Bookmakers 41%
Head to Head
AWAY Cerro Largo EU Bookmakers 37%
-6% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / +5%
1.27/1.13 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.29/1.29
+6% / +2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +4% / -9%
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
335 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 348 · 80%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
2.5 Yellow Cards 3.1

Liverpool FC (Montevideo) vs Cerro Largo Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Liverpool FC (Montevideo)
4W-0D-2L
AWAY Cerro Largo
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
51% Ball Possession 49%
10 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
4 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
10.11.2023 Liverpool FC (Montevideo) Liverpool FC (Montevideo) 3-0 HT 3-0 Cerro Largo Cerro Largo URU
17.06.2023 Cerro Largo Cerro Largo 1-3 HT 0-0 Liverpool FC (Montevideo) Liverpool FC (Montevideo) URU
01.04.2023 Cerro Largo Cerro Largo 1-0 HT 0-0 Liverpool FC (Montevideo) Liverpool FC (Montevideo) URU
16.10.2022 Liverpool FC (Montevideo) Liverpool FC (Montevideo) 1-0 HT 1-0 Cerro Largo Cerro Largo URU
28.05.2022 Cerro Largo Cerro Largo 1-2 HT 0-1 Liverpool FC (Montevideo) Liverpool FC (Montevideo) URU
25.09.2021 Cerro Largo Cerro Largo 3-0 HT 1-0 Liverpool FC (Montevideo) Liverpool FC (Montevideo) URU
POST-MATCH Liverpool FC (Montevideo) vs Cerro Largo
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Liverpool FC (Montevideo) edged past Cerro Largo 2-1.

Our pre-match split (38% / 26% / 36%) promised a tight game; Liverpool FC (Montevideo) found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (58%), no to both teams scoring (59%) — went the other way, though.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Liverpool FC (Montevideo) had the better of it with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Liverpool FC (Montevideo) and 1.00 for Cerro Largo.

What was the final score of Liverpool FC (Montevideo) vs Cerro Largo?

Liverpool FC (Montevideo) 2-1 Cerro Largo in the Uruguay - Premier League on 12/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Liverpool FC (Montevideo) vs Cerro Largo?

Before kick-off our model rated a Liverpool FC (Montevideo) win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Liverpool FC (Montevideo) 38%, draw 26%, Cerro Largo 36%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Liverpool FC (Montevideo)) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Liverpool FC (Montevideo)) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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