PAOK 2-0 Olympiakos — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Greece - Super League, 12 May 2024

PAOK
2-0 HT 1-0
Olympiakos
📅12/05/2024 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 ✗ 2nd Score 2-2 ✗
Greece - Super League – 2023/2024

PAOK vs Olympiakos Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
1.96
Draw
23%
3.45
Away
34%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
2.03
Over 2.5
53%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.61
No
48%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
3.93
2-3 Goals
38%
1.84
4-5 Goals
25%
3.15
6+ Goals
11%
10.45
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
2.71
1/2
5%
34.0
1/X
6%
12.85
X/1
12%
4.7
X/2
20%
7.32
X/X
11%
5.04
2/1
8%
23.6
2/2
9%
5.05
2/X
7%
13.2
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
47%
-4.6pp
23%
Draw
26%
-2.2pp
34%
Away Win
27%
+6.8pp
47%
Under 2.5
45%
+1.8pp
53%
Over 2.5
55%
-1.8pp
52%
BTTS Yes
58%
-5.6pp
48%
BTTS No
42%
+5.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

PAOK v Olympiakos — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME PAOK EU Bookmakers 51%
Head to Head
AWAY Olympiakos EU Bookmakers 31%
-5% / -27% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -3%
1.17/0.93 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.24/1.10
-14% / -17% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -2% / -1%
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
329 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 290 · 74%
23.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.5
18.3 Crosses 14.7
2.9 Yellow Cards 3.3

PAOK vs Olympiakos Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME PAOK
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Olympiakos
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
1.19 xG 1.33
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
2 Corners 4
329 Passes 296
78% Pass Accuracy 77%
22 Box Touches 15
15 Crosses 16
3 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
21.04.2024 Olympiakos Olympiakos 2-1 HT 1-0 PAOK PAOK YUN
18.02.2024 PAOK PAOK 1-4 HT 1-1 Olympiakos Olympiakos YUN
05.11.2023 Olympiakos Olympiakos 2-4 HT 0-1 PAOK PAOK YUN
14.05.2023 PAOK PAOK 0-1 HT 0-1 Olympiakos Olympiakos YUN
05.04.2023 Olympiakos Olympiakos 3-1 HT 0-1 PAOK PAOK YUN
05.02.2023 PAOK PAOK 0-0 HT 0-0 Olympiakos Olympiakos YUN

PAOK 2-0 Olympiakos — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME PAOK
2-0
AWAY Olympiakos
0.98 xG 0.45
43% Ball Possession 57%
10 Total Shots 13
2 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 3
230 Passes 338
69% Pass Accuracy 78%
19 Box Touches 13
8 Crosses 25
3 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH PAOK vs Olympiakos
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

PAOK saw off Olympiakos 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had PAOK as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, PAOK had 43% of the ball to Olympiakos's 57%, shots finished 10-13, expected goals 0.98 to 0.45.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Olympiakos led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for PAOK and 2.00 for Olympiakos.

What was the final score of PAOK vs Olympiakos?

PAOK 2-0 Olympiakos in the Greece - Super League on 12/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for PAOK vs Olympiakos?

Before kick-off our model rated a PAOK win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split PAOK 43%, draw 23%, Olympiakos 34%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (PAOK) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (PAOK) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →