Olympiakos vs PAOK Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Olympiakos v PAOK — Team-Based Signals
Olympiakos vs PAOK Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
2-4
HT 0-1
PAOK
YUN
0-1
HT 0-1
Olympiakos
YUN
3-1
HT 0-1
PAOK
YUN
0-0
HT 0-0
Olympiakos
YUN
1-2
HT 1-1
PAOK
YUN
Olympiakos 2-1 PAOK — Actual Match Statistics
Olympiakos squeezed past PAOK 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.
We called this one close before kick-off — 33% / 28% / 39% — and on the day Olympiakos made the difference.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.
On the day, Olympiakos had 50% of the ball to PAOK's 50%, shots finished 9-7, expected goals 1.67 to 0.45 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Olympiakos's control.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Olympiakos had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Olympiakos and 1.33 for PAOK.
What was the final score of Olympiakos vs PAOK?
Olympiakos 2-1 PAOK in the Greece - Super League on 21/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Olympiakos vs PAOK?
Before kick-off our model rated an PAOK win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Olympiakos 33%, draw 28%, PAOK 39%. The final score 2-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.