Aris Saloniki vs AEK Atina Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Aris Saloniki v AEK Atina — Team-Based Signals
Aris Saloniki vs AEK Atina Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-0
HT 0-0
Aris Saloniki
YUN
1-2
HT 1-2
AEK Atina
YUN
Aris Saloniki 1-2 AEK Atina — Actual Match Statistics
AEK Atina squeezed past Aris Saloniki 2-1 away from home. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.
Just as the model leaned, our model had AEK Atina as the likeliest winner at 57%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.
On the day, Aris Saloniki had 37% of the ball to AEK Atina's 63%, shots finished 9-28, expected goals 0.33 to 3.34 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold AEK Atina's control.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, AEK Atina led the recent series with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Aris Saloniki and 1.50 for AEK Atina.
What was the final score of Aris Saloniki vs AEK Atina?
Aris Saloniki 1-2 AEK Atina in the Greece - Super League on 21/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Aris Saloniki vs AEK Atina?
Before kick-off our model rated an AEK Atina win the most likely single outcome at about 57%, with the full match-result split Aris Saloniki 18%, draw 25%, AEK Atina 57%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (AEK Atina), BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.