Lamia 0-5 Panathinaikos — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Greece - Super League, 21 Apr 2024

Lamia
0-5 HT 0-2
Panathinaikos
📅21/04/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-2 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
Greece - Super League – 2023/2024

Lamia vs Panathinaikos Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
17%
9.57
Draw
20%
5.71
Away
63%
1.19
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
2.51
Over 2.5
50%
1.48
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
2.03
No
56%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
22%
3.8
2-3 Goals
44%
1.83
4-5 Goals
23%
3.22
6+ Goals
11%
11.05
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.8 — our 22% vs market 21.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
6%
18.55
1/2
7%
25.5
1/X
5%
27.0
X/1
6%
21.4
X/2
20%
3.22
X/X
5%
7.28
2/1
4%
34.5
2/2
36%
1.49
2/X
11%
26.0
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
17%
Home Win
7%
+9.4pp
20%
Draw
14%
+6.1pp
63%
Away Win
79%
-15.5pp
50%
Under 2.5
36%
+14.1pp
50%
Over 2.5
64%
-14.1pp
44%
BTTS Yes
45%
-1.2pp
56%
BTTS No
55%
+1.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Lamia v Panathinaikos — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Lamia EU Bookmakers 10%
Head to Head
AWAY Panathinaikos EU Bookmakers 84%
-3% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -8% / -7%
0.62/1.58 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.44/0.66
-27% / -16% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -22% / -20%
36% Ball Possession 64%
7 Total Shots 15
3 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 7
212 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 555 · 87%
9.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 23.8
12.0 Crosses 17.8
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.5

Lamia vs Panathinaikos Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Lamia
0W-1D-5L
AWAY Panathinaikos
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 2.17
0.65 xG 1.67
35% Ball Possession 65%
9 Total Shots 16
3 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 6
216 Passes 474
74% Pass Accuracy 86%
11 Box Touches 36
13 Crosses 25
3 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
14.04.2024 Panathinaikos Panathinaikos 3-1 HT 1-1 Lamia Lamia YUN
17.02.2024 Panathinaikos Panathinaikos 2-2 HT 1-1 Lamia Lamia YUN
04.11.2023 Lamia Lamia 1-2 HT 0-1 Panathinaikos Panathinaikos YUN
05.02.2023 Panathinaikos Panathinaikos 2-0 HT 1-0 Lamia Lamia YUN
16.10.2022 Lamia Lamia 0-2 HT 0-1 Panathinaikos Panathinaikos YUN
27.04.2022 Lamia Lamia 0-2 HT 0-1 Panathinaikos Panathinaikos YUK

Lamia 0-5 Panathinaikos — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Lamia
0-5
AWAY Panathinaikos
1.00 xG 2.65
53% Ball Possession 47%
10 Total Shots 18
5 Shots on Target 8
2 Corners 4
327 Passes 296
80% Pass Accuracy 81%
12 Box Touches 32
12 Crosses 11
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Lamia vs Panathinaikos
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Panathinaikos ran out comfortable winners over Lamia 5-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-2. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we said in the preview, our model had Panathinaikos as the likeliest winner at 63%, and the 5-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged no to both teams scoring (56%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Lamia had 53% of the ball to Panathinaikos's 47%, shots finished 10-18, expected goals 1.00 to 2.65.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Panathinaikos led the recent series with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Lamia and 2.17 for Panathinaikos.

What was the final score of Lamia vs Panathinaikos?

Lamia 0-5 Panathinaikos in the Greece - Super League on 21/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Lamia vs Panathinaikos?

Before kick-off our model rated an Panathinaikos win the most likely single outcome at about 63%, with the full match-result split Lamia 17%, draw 20%, Panathinaikos 63%. The final score 0-5 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Panathinaikos), BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Panathinaikos) ✓ BTTS No
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