Panathinaikos 3-1 Lamia — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Greece - Super League, 14 Apr 2024

📅14/04/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
61%
1.16
Draw
23%
7.13
Away
16%
10.87
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
2.74
Over 2.5
57%
1.41
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
2.51
No
51%
1.46
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
4%
1/X
4%
X/1
30%
X/2
4%
X/X
11%
2/1
8%
2/2
8%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
62%
Home Win
82%
-20.3pp
23%
Draw
11%
+11.4pp
16%
Away Win
7%
+9.0pp
43%
Under 2.5
33%
+10.5pp
57%
Over 2.5
67%
-10.5pp
49%
BTTS Yes
36%
+13.4pp
51%
BTTS No
64%
-13.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Panathinaikos EU Bookmakers 87%
Head to Head
AWAY Lamia EU Bookmakers 9%
-1% / -9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -1%
1.88/0.45 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.53/1.69
-9% / +42% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -20% / -6%
60% Ball Possession 40%
18 Total Shots 7
6 Shots on Target 2
7 Corners 3
485 · 86% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 224 · 72%
32.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 9.9
22.6 Crosses 10.8
1.2 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Panathinaikos
5W-1D-0L
AWAY Lamia
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
1.52 xG 0.75
66% Ball Possession 34%
15 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 3
479 Passes 197
85% Pass Accuracy 72%
34 Box Touches 12
26 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 2
17.02.2024 Panathinaikos Panathinaikos 2-2 HT 1-1 Lamia Lamia YUN
04.11.2023 Lamia Lamia 1-2 HT 0-1 Panathinaikos Panathinaikos YUN
05.02.2023 Panathinaikos Panathinaikos 2-0 HT 1-0 Lamia Lamia YUN
16.10.2022 Lamia Lamia 0-2 HT 0-1 Panathinaikos Panathinaikos YUN
27.04.2022 Lamia Lamia 0-2 HT 0-1 Panathinaikos Panathinaikos YUK
20.04.2022 Panathinaikos Panathinaikos 1-0 HT 1-0 Lamia Lamia YUK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Panathinaikos
3-1
AWAY Lamia
2.29 xG 0.25
59% Ball Possession 41%
23 Total Shots 6
6 Shots on Target 1
7 Corners 1
452 Passes 291
87% Pass Accuracy 81%
44 Box Touches 4
20 Crosses 8
0 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Panathinaikos vs Lamia
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Panathinaikos got the better of Lamia 3-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Panathinaikos as the likeliest winner at 62%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (57%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Panathinaikos had 59% of the ball to Lamia's 41%, shots finished 23-6, expected goals 2.29 to 0.25.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Panathinaikos had the better of it with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Panathinaikos and 0.50 for Lamia.

What was the final score of Panathinaikos vs Lamia?

Panathinaikos 3-1 Lamia in the Greece - Super League on 14/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Panathinaikos vs Lamia?

Before kick-off our model rated a Panathinaikos win the most likely single outcome at about 62%, with the full match-result split Panathinaikos 62%, draw 23%, Lamia 16%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Panathinaikos), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Panathinaikos) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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