AEK Atina 2-0 Aris Saloniki — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Greece - Super League, 14 Apr 2024

📅14/04/2024 · 🕒20:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 2nd Score 4-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
65%
1.25
Draw
19%
5.28
Away
16%
8.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
2.38
Over 2.5
57%
1.52
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
2.13
No
55%
1.63
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
4.88
2-3 Goals
42%
1.94
4-5 Goals
26%
2.8
6+ Goals
11%
7.49
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
37%
1.39
1/2
4%
34.5
1/X
6%
26.0
X/1
20%
3.4
X/2
6%
26.0
X/X
7%
8.4
2/1
8%
24.85
2/2
6%
21.05
2/X
6%
26.5
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
65%
Home Win
76%
-10.6pp
19%
Draw
16%
+3.1pp
16%
Away Win
8%
+7.5pp
43%
Under 2.5
38%
+5.2pp
57%
Over 2.5
62%
-5.2pp
45%
BTTS Yes
43%
+2.7pp
55%
BTTS No
57%
-2.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME AEK Atina EU Bookmakers 80%
Head to Head
AWAY Aris Saloniki EU Bookmakers 11%
-2% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +5%
2.10/0.57 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.71/1.63
+7% / +9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +3% / +22%
59% Ball Possession 41%
16 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 3
401 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 247 · 74%
33.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 11.5
26.0 Crosses 8.4
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME AEK Atina
3W-3D-0L
AWAY Aris Saloniki
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.74 xG 1.02
58% Ball Possession 42%
14 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 2
367 Passes 281
81% Pass Accuracy 76%
29 Box Touches 12
21 Crosses 4
3 Yellow Cards 2
03.03.2024 Aris Saloniki Aris Saloniki 3-3 HT 1-1 AEK Atina AEK Atina YUN
17.01.2024 Aris Saloniki Aris Saloniki 1-1 HT 0-1 AEK Atina AEK Atina YUK
10.01.2024 AEK Atina AEK Atina 0-0 HT 0-0 Aris Saloniki Aris Saloniki YUK
04.12.2023 AEK Atina AEK Atina 1-0 HT 0-0 Aris Saloniki Aris Saloniki YUN
08.05.2023 Aris Saloniki Aris Saloniki 1-2 HT 1-2 AEK Atina AEK Atina YUN
09.04.2023 AEK Atina AEK Atina 3-1 HT 1-1 Aris Saloniki Aris Saloniki YUN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME AEK Atina
2-0
AWAY Aris Saloniki
2.22 xG 0.13
69% Ball Possession 31%
15 Total Shots 5
7 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 2
529 Passes 189
86% Pass Accuracy 68%
35 Box Touches 6
13 Crosses 4
2 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH AEK Atina vs Aris Saloniki
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

AEK Atina got the better of Aris Saloniki 2-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had AEK Atina as the likeliest winner at 65%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. On goals, no to both teams scoring (55%) landed while over 2.5 goals (57%) missed.

On the day, AEK Atina had 69% of the ball to Aris Saloniki's 31%, shots finished 15-5, expected goals 2.22 to 0.13.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, AEK Atina had the better of it with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for AEK Atina and 1.00 for Aris Saloniki.

What was the final score of AEK Atina vs Aris Saloniki?

AEK Atina 2-0 Aris Saloniki in the Greece - Super League on 14/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for AEK Atina vs Aris Saloniki?

Before kick-off our model rated a AEK Atina win the most likely single outcome at about 65%, with the full match-result split AEK Atina 65%, draw 19%, Aris Saloniki 16%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (AEK Atina), BTTS No — while Over 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (AEK Atina) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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14 Apr 2024
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