Panserraikos 2-1 PAS Giannina — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Greece - Super League, 21 Apr 2024

📅21/04/2024 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
1.9
Draw
31%
3.28
Away
24%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.71
Over 2.5
40%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
1.9
No
59%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
35%
2.82
2-3 Goals
37%
1.77
4-5 Goals
20%
4.14
6+ Goals
8%
19.9
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.82 — our 35% vs market 29.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
2.62
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
8%
13.9
X/1
19%
4.22
X/2
11%
7.8
X/X
17%
4.26
2/1
5%
27.0
2/2
9%
6.23
2/X
6%
14.6
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
49%
-4.0pp
31%
Draw
27%
+3.7pp
25%
Away Win
24%
+0.4pp
60%
Under 2.5
55%
+5.3pp
40%
Over 2.5
45%
-5.3pp
41%
BTTS Yes
49%
-7.4pp
59%
BTTS No
51%
+7.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Panserraikos EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY PAS Giannina EU Bookmakers 28%
-2% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / -7%
0.91/0.85 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.90/1.19
-25% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +0% / -12%
56% Ball Possession 44%
14 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 3
345 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 212 · 65%
12.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14.7
18.6 Crosses 14.9
2.7 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Panserraikos
2W-1D-0L
AWAY PAS Giannina
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
2.10 xG 0.59
47% Ball Possession 53%
12 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 7
276 Passes 318
74% Pass Accuracy 76%
15 Box Touches 16
16 Crosses 27
3 Yellow Cards 3
20.01.2024 PAS Giannina PAS Giannina 0-2 HT 0-2 Panserraikos Panserraikos YUN
28.09.2023 Panserraikos Panserraikos 3-2 HT 2-1 PAS Giannina PAS Giannina YUN
04.08.2023 PAS Giannina PAS Giannina 1-1 HT 0-1 Panserraikos Panserraikos HAZ
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Panserraikos
2-1
AWAY PAS Giannina
1.20 xG 1.20
49% Ball Possession 51%
13 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
304 Passes 324
78% Pass Accuracy 79%
24 Box Touches 15
20 Crosses 18
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Panserraikos vs PAS Giannina
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Panserraikos nicked a narrow win over PAS Giannina 2-1. Half-time: 2-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Panserraikos as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (60%), no to both teams scoring (59%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Panserraikos had 49% of the ball to PAS Giannina's 51%, shots finished 13-12, expected goals 1.20 to 1.20.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Panserraikos had the better of it with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Panserraikos and 1.00 for PAS Giannina.

What was the final score of Panserraikos vs PAS Giannina?

Panserraikos 2-1 PAS Giannina in the Greece - Super League on 21/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Panserraikos vs PAS Giannina?

Before kick-off our model rated a Panserraikos win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Panserraikos 45%, draw 31%, PAS Giannina 25%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Panserraikos) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Panserraikos) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
YUN More Greece - Super League
21 Apr 2024
17:00 Lamia vs Panathinaikos Analysis →
19:30 Aris Saloniki vs AEK Atina Analysis →
20:30 Olympiakos vs PAOK Analysis →