Venezia 2-1 Fiorentina — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie A, 12 May 2025

📅12/05/2025 · 🕒19:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.53
Draw
28%
2.94
Away
36%
2.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
58%
1.62
Over
42%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.88
No
56%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1
33%
2.54
2-3
38%
1.76
4-5
19%
4.44
6+
10%
23.3
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
4.02
1/2
7%
34.5
1/X
9%
13.1
X/1
16%
5.69
X/2
12%
5.81
X/X
10%
3.87
2/1
6%
33.5
2/2
17%
4.15
2/X
10%
13.15
STRENGTH — green bars inside a box show the pattern support behind that selection, from Good · Strong · Very strong to Great — the deeper the historical record, the fuller the bar; informational, not a sized bet.
Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik model signals — not real match figures
HOME Venezia The Market 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Fiorentina The Market 37%
Average Season vs Marketall history · vs bookmaker expectation Average
Average Recent Form vs Marketlatest matches · vs bookmaker expectation Strong
1.38 Expected Goals Scoredper match · higher is better 1.24
1.27 Expected Goals Concededper match · lower is better 1.14
Average Attackvs comparable teams Strong
Average Defensevs comparable teams Average
47% Ball Possession 53%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
302 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 338 · 78%
19.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.4
16.0 Crosses 17.1
1.7 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Venezia
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Fiorentina
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
0.60 xG 1.46
38% Ball Possession 62%
5 Total Shots 15
2 Shots on Target 5
2 Corners 6
250 Passes 459
76% Pass Accuracy 86%
12 Box Touches 30
8 Crosses 19
3 Yellow Cards 3
25.08.2024 Fiorentina Fiorentina 0-0 HT 0-0 Venezia Venezia İTA
16.04.2022 Fiorentina Fiorentina 1-0 HT 1-0 Venezia Venezia İTA
18.10.2021 Venezia Venezia 1-0 HT 1-0 Fiorentina Fiorentina İTA
14.12.2003 Fiorentina Fiorentina 1-1 HT 0-1 Venezia Venezia İTB
10.02.2002 Venezia Venezia 2-0 HT 1-0 Fiorentina Fiorentina İTA
30.09.2001 Fiorentina Fiorentina 3-1 HT 1-0 Venezia Venezia İTA
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Venezia
2-1
AWAY Fiorentina
1.98 xG 1.14
34% Ball Possession 66%
9 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 5
1 Corners 5
221 Passes 487
76% Pass Accuracy 87%
20 Box Touches 20
10 Crosses 24
1 Yellow Cards 4
REVIEW Venezia vs Fiorentina
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

Venezia squeezed past Fiorentina 2-1. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

The model refused to pick a side here (36% / 28% / 36%); Venezia picked one for it. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (58%), no to both teams scoring (56%) — went the other way, though.

By the numbers, Fiorentina saw more of the ball, 66% to 34%, shots finished 9-16, expected goals 1.98 to 1.14.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Scoring in those meetings ran 0.83 a game for Venezia against 0.83 for Fiorentina.

Venezia vs Fiorentina Result & Final Score

Venezia 2-1 Fiorentina in the Italy - Serie A on 12/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

Venezia vs Fiorentina Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated a Venezia win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Venezia 36%, draw 28%, Fiorentina 36%. The final score 2-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

◐ Match Result — model had it level (36/28/36) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
İTA More Italy - Serie A
12 May 2025
21:45 Atalanta vs Roma Analysis →