Baniyas SC 3-3 Khorfakkan — Result, Statistics & Match Review — UAE - League, 12 May 2025

📅12/05/2025 · 🕒17:10 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
2.33
Draw
31%
3.28
Away
35%
2.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.97
Over 2.5
46%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.61
No
46%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
12%
X/2
19%
X/X
19%
2/1
5%
2/2
11%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
39%
-5.6pp
31%
Draw
27%
+4.3pp
35%
Away Win
34%
+1.4pp
54%
Under 2.5
47%
+6.9pp
46%
Over 2.5
53%
-6.9pp
54%
BTTS Yes
58%
-3.9pp
46%
BTTS No
42%
+3.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Baniyas SC EU Bookmakers 43%
Head to Head
AWAY Khorfakkan EU Bookmakers 37%
+1% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / +4%
1.31/1.18 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.52/1.44
+3% / +10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -3% / -5%
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
323 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 355 · 81%
20.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.5
17.6 Crosses 16.3
2.0 Yellow Cards 1.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Baniyas SC
3W-0D-3L
AWAY Khorfakkan
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
0.94 xG 1.66
53% Ball Possession 47%
11 Total Shots 15
3 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
313 Passes 264
78% Pass Accuracy 78%
20 Box Touches 22
16 Crosses 21
2 Yellow Cards 3
06.01.2025 Khorfakkan Khorfakkan 5-2 HT 1-2 Baniyas SC Baniyas SC BAE
21.04.2024 Khorfakkan Khorfakkan 2-1 HT 2-1 Baniyas SC Baniyas SC BAE
04.11.2023 Baniyas SC Baniyas SC 1-0 HT 0-0 Khorfakkan Khorfakkan BAE
27.01.2023 Khorfakkan Khorfakkan 1-2 HT 0-2 Baniyas SC Baniyas SC BAE
02.09.2022 Baniyas SC Baniyas SC 1-0 HT 0-0 Khorfakkan Khorfakkan BAE
05.04.2022 Khorfakkan Khorfakkan 4-2 HT 1-2 Baniyas SC Baniyas SC BAE
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Baniyas SC
3-3
AWAY Khorfakkan
1.27 xG 4.40
32% Ball Possession 68%
10 Total Shots 25
4 Shots on Target 10
2 Corners 8
154 Passes 376
72% Pass Accuracy 84%
17 Box Touches 52
8 Crosses 25
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Baniyas SC vs Khorfakkan
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Baniyas SC and Khorfakkan couldn't be separated, finishing 3-3. It was 2-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

We called this one close before kick-off — 34% / 31% / 35% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

On the day, Baniyas SC had 32% of the ball to Khorfakkan's 68%, shots finished 10-25, expected goals 1.27 to 4.40.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 3 apiece. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Baniyas SC and 2.00 for Khorfakkan.

What was the final score of Baniyas SC vs Khorfakkan?

Baniyas SC 3-3 Khorfakkan in the UAE - League on 12/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Baniyas SC vs Khorfakkan?

Before kick-off our model rated an Khorfakkan win the most likely single outcome at about 35%, with the full match-result split Baniyas SC 34%, draw 31%, Khorfakkan 35%. The final score 3-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Khorfakkan), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Khorfakkan) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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