Aurora 0-2 Bolivar — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Bolivia - LFPB Küme Düşme, 12 May 2025

Aurora
0-2 HT 0-1
Bolivar
📅12/05/2025 · 🕒02:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 ✗ 2nd Score 1-2 ✗
Bolivia - LFPB Küme Düşme – 2025

Aurora vs Bolivar Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
3.17
Draw
29%
3.64
Away
39%
1.91
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
2.23
Over 2.5
57%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
61%
1.46
No
39%
2.51
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
15%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
1/2
8%
1/X
4%
X/1
14%
X/2
12%
X/X
15%
2/1
7%
2/2
20%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
32%
Home Win
28%
+4.4pp
29%
Draw
24%
+4.7pp
39%
Away Win
48%
-9.1pp
43%
Under 2.5
41%
+2.1pp
57%
Over 2.5
59%
-2.1pp
61%
BTTS Yes
64%
-3.0pp
39%
BTTS No
36%
+3.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Aurora v Bolivar — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Aurora EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY Bolivar EU Bookmakers 52%
+16% / +21% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -11%
1.18/0.75 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.51/1.10
-26% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +15% / -10%
46% Ball Possession 54%
13 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
242 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 282 · 77%
22.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 24.5
20.2 Crosses 18.7
3.2 Yellow Cards 3.2

Aurora vs Bolivar Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Aurora
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Bolivar
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.08 xG 1.09
44% Ball Possession 56%
14 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 6
7 Corners 6
215 Passes 305
75% Pass Accuracy 81%
20 Box Touches 18
19 Crosses 17
3 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
20.10.2024 Bolivar Bolivar 0-1 HT 0-0 Aurora Aurora BOLİ
23.05.2024 Aurora Aurora 1-1 HT 0-1 Bolivar Bolivar BOLİ
15.12.2023 Aurora Aurora 1-0 HT 0-0 Bolivar Bolivar BOLPLK
12.12.2023 Bolivar Bolivar 3-1 HT 1-1 Aurora Aurora BOLPLK
13.08.2023 Aurora Aurora 2-1 HT 1-1 Bolivar Bolivar BOLİ
13.03.2023 Bolivar Bolivar 1-0 HT 0-0 Aurora Aurora BOLİ

Aurora 0-2 Bolivar — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Aurora
0-2
AWAY Bolivar
0.71 xG 1.59
34% Ball Possession 66%
10 Total Shots 19
3 Shots on Target 7
5 Corners 4
178 Passes 448
71% Pass Accuracy 88%
15 Box Touches 23
21 Crosses 13
4 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Aurora vs Bolivar
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Bolivar beat Aurora 2-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match split (32% / 29% / 39%) promised a tight game; Bolivar found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (57%), both teams to score (61%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Aurora had 34% of the ball to Bolivar's 66%, shots finished 10-19, expected goals 0.71 to 1.59.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Aurora had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Aurora and 1.00 for Bolivar.

What was the final score of Aurora vs Bolivar?

Aurora 0-2 Bolivar in the Bolivia - LFPB Küme Düşme on 12/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Aurora vs Bolivar?

Before kick-off our model rated an Bolivar win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Aurora 32%, draw 29%, Bolivar 39%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Bolivar) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Bolivar) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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