Emelec vs Aucas Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Emelec v Aucas — Team-Based Signals
Emelec vs Aucas Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
0-0
HT 0-0
Aucas
EKV1
2-1
HT 1-0
Emelec
EKV1
1-1
HT 0-0
Emelec
EKV1
0-2
HT 0-1
Aucas
EKVK
Emelec 0-1 Aucas — Actual Match Statistics
Aucas edged past Emelec 1-0 away from home in the Ecuador - Premier on 12 May 2025. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 42% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.
On the day, Emelec had 59% of the ball to Aucas's 41%, shots finished 8-14, expected goals 0.72 to 2.40.
Across their last 6 meetings in our records, Aucas lead the recent series with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Emelec and 1.33 for Aucas.
What was the final score of Emelec vs Aucas?
Emelec 0-1 Aucas in the Ecuador - Premier on 12/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Emelec vs Aucas?
Before kick-off our model rated a Emelec win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Emelec 36%, draw 30%, Aucas 34%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Emelec) went the other way.